NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	2.3 [470]		MVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): +10.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	134		Comeback	1.2 [357]		LVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): -5.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	13	79%	0.07	6	-0.06	7	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bronny James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.10	0.00	0.15	12	64%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00
Austin Reaves	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	17	52%	0.01	4	-0.07	8	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	12	77%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	20	60%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.07	8	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.10	16	76%	0.03	3	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.13	0.00	0.13	7	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.3	14.8	29.0	2.4	27.7	126.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.9%

LAL -7.5%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +17.6%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.5	12.9	14.3	104.8	127.6	111.9
season	14.8	13.7		111.9	121.2
opponent	14.8	14.1		109.7	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.1	14.9	11.9	15.3	14.5
CLE	10.9	15.1	13.3	12.3	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bronny James	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	15.7	14.4	1.38	10.6	13.2	-2.62
Cam Reddish	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	14.0	14.6	-0.59	12.6	13.0	-0.31
Gabe Vincent	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-14	4	13.9	14.8	-0.99	13.6	12.5	1.10
Jaxson Hayes	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-13	2	15.4	14.0	1.46	12.7	13.0	-0.36
Dalton Knecht	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-13	2	14.7	14.4	0.36	13.3	12.6	0.67
D'Angelo Russell	54	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-16	8	14.6	14.4	0.26	12.8	13.0	-0.22
LeBron James	65	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	-7	-10	13.8	15.6	-1.82	13.4	12.1	1.28
Rui Hachimura	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-13	2	14.5	14.5	0.04	13.0	12.8	0.23
Max Christie	58	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-5	-14	15.1	13.8	1.29	12.6	13.3	-0.71
Austin Reaves	62	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-10	-4	14.3	14.8	-0.49	12.9	12.9	0.03
Anthony Davis	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	-6	-12	14.4	14.9	-0.50	12.7	13.3	-0.66

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	44	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.31	25	-1	26	12.9	12.9	-0.07	16.1	13.5	2.62
Caris LeVert	48	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	4	16	12.5	13.3	-0.82	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Jarrett Allen	67	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	10	4	13.0	12.8	0.14	14.6	14.3	0.33
Georges Niang	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	11	2	13.0	12.8	0.21	15.0	14.1	0.92
Donovan Mitchell	68	69	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	19	-14	13.0	12.6	0.40	14.0	15.6	-1.65
Darius Garland	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.23	16	8	8	13.5	12.4	1.10	14.2	14.8	-0.50
Dean Wade	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	13	-2	12.8	13.0	-0.21	14.1	15.0	-0.92
Evan Mobley	42	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	11	2	12.8	13.0	-0.24	14.0	14.9	-0.97
Isaac Okoro	43	42	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	20	-16	13.3	12.6	0.67	15.5	13.9	1.59
Jaylon Tyson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	10.6	13.2	-2.62	15.7	14.4	1.38
Tristan Thompson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	10.6	13.2	-2.62	15.7	14.4	1.38
Ty Jerome	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	29	-34	13.7	12.5	1.13	13.6	15.0	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 84, PHI 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
GSW 91, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DAL 75, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%