NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	103		Excitement	3.9 [402]		MVP	Toumani Camara (POR): +9.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	125		Comeback	1.6 [122]		LVP	Jose Alvarado (NOP): -3.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Javonte Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	21	56%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Herbert Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Karlo Matkovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Reeves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.06	13	59%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Zion Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	12	41%	0.00	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Yves Missi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	17	61%	0.10	3	-0.04	12	67%	-0.02
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	9	85%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.01	0.10	17	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	-0.11	12	32%	0.01	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.2	26.8	15.3	31.3	1.8	25.5	129.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.9%

POR +0.9%

POR +20.8%

POR +1.5%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	14.3	106.2	128.9	112.0
season	14.7	14.3		107.0	107.9
opponent	14.4	14.1		116.0	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.7	16.2	16.4	13.5	14.9
POR	15.7	14.3	14.2	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	14.1	15.6	-1.49	15.7	14.5	1.14
Yves Missi	40	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-21	20	15.7	14.4	1.31	15.1	14.6	0.48
Javonte Green	30	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-19	15	15.0	15.3	-0.27	15.0	14.7	0.25
Zion Williamson	56	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-18	13	14.1	17.1	-2.98	15.6	13.3	2.34
Daniel Theis	33	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-9	-5	16.0	14.8	1.20	14.5	15.0	-0.55
Herbert Jones	65	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	1	-25	15.1	15.5	-0.45	14.7	15.0	-0.22
Jordan Hawkins	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.17	-20	-3	-17	15.0	15.6	-0.54	14.0	16.6	-2.58
Brandon Ingram	64	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	0	-23	15.9	13.5	2.41	14.6	15.2	-0.55
CJ McCollum	73	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.31	-29	6	-35	15.5	13.8	1.71	14.7	15.2	-0.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Simons	64	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	-2	27	14.7	15.2	-0.54	15.7	13.8	1.95
Scoot Henderson	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	3	17	14.2	16.2	-2.00	15.6	14.5	1.04
Deni Avdija	57	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.23	21	2	19	14.6	15.1	-0.44	15.8	14.1	1.73
Toumani Camara	66	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	5	13	14.8	15.0	-0.20	15.5	14.3	1.23
Deandre Ayton	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	8	7	14.7	15.1	-0.44	15.6	14.5	1.10
Jerami Grant	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	16	-9	15.6	13.3	2.38	14.5	16.7	-2.22
Donovan Clingan	28	26	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	17	-11	15.1	14.7	0.44	14.0	15.7	-1.77
Jabari Walker	24	23	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	18	-13	14.9	14.8	0.15	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Duop Reath	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	15.0	14.8	0.19	16.0	15.2	0.79
Rayan Rupert	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	15.0	14.8	0.19	16.0	15.2	0.79
Kris Murray	25	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	25	-27	15.2	14.7	0.54	13.8	15.7	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 104, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1	96.6%
WAS 84, BOS 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 93, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%