NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Excitement	9.8 [19]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +57.4%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	5.5 [53]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -22.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.57	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.57	0.12	0.47	0.02	24	58%	0.67	3	-0.09	7	100%	0.10
Naz Reid	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.10	-0.02	10	83%	0.31	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	17	89%	0.35	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	90%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.08
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.12	-0.02	9	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	9	30%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.22	0.00	9	74%	0.34	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	0.00	17	64%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.12	0.00	13	71%	0.29	4	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.10	-0.01	18	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.05
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23	-0.23	-0.01	-0.20	0.02	14	50%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	31.6	14.5	28.5	2.3	35.1	141.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +51.5%

MIN +10.1%

MIN +13.2%

SAC -29.5%

MIN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	12.7	14.4	114.7	111.7	112.0
season	14.6	13.6		113.5	113.9
opponent	15.2	14.4		111.2	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	16.2	14.8	16.3	15.4
SAC	11.4	13.8	12.8	13.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naz Reid	54	56	0.81	-0.38	1.18	0.43	13	-11	24	14.4	16.5	-2.13	13.7	11.8	1.89
Anthony Edwards	85	84	0.62	-0.19	0.81	0.39	8	-6	14	15.4	15.2	0.16	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	41	41	0.35	0.08	0.27	0.20	5	-3	8	14.2	16.1	-1.93	13.6	12.3	1.32
Jaden McDaniels	59	57	0.32	0.11	0.21	0.52	-7	9	-16	16.3	14.1	2.17	12.1	13.8	-1.75
Julius Randle	74	73	0.29	0.14	0.14	0.37	-3	5	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.47	13.0	12.4	0.60
Donte DiVincenzo	54	55	0.26	0.17	0.08	0.05	7	-5	12	14.8	16.0	-1.19	13.7	11.9	1.80
Joe Ingles	10	11	-0.04	0.47	-0.52	-0.01	-1	3	-4	12.6	15.7	-3.07	14.5	12.6	1.91
Mike Conley	57	58	-0.21	0.64	-0.85	-0.03	-6	8	-14	16.2	14.3	1.94	12.3	13.5	-1.16
Rudy Gobert	76	75	-0.23	0.66	-0.90	-0.06	-6	8	-14	16.2	12.9	3.29	12.0	15.1	-3.03

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	44	44	0.30	-0.73	1.04	0.04	9	-11	20	12.8	12.9	-0.04	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Alex Len	13	12	-0.01	-0.42	0.41	-0.01	0	-2	2	12.7	12.9	-0.17	14.5	15.5	-0.99
Keegan Murray	90	88	-0.01	-0.42	0.40	-0.28	9	-11	20	12.9	12.2	0.77	15.8	12.6	3.16
DeMar DeRozan	89	90	-0.10	-0.33	0.22	-0.34	8	-10	18	12.9	12.2	0.70	15.8	12.0	3.82
Doug McDermott	12	12	-0.21	-0.22	0.00	-0.12	-3	1	-4	14.6	12.6	1.97	14.7	15.5	-0.71
De'Aaron Fox	79	78	-0.25	-0.18	-0.08	-0.31	2	-4	6	12.6	13.7	-1.04	15.7	14.3	1.41
Trey Lyles	23	24	-0.40	-0.03	-0.37	0.01	-14	12	-26	14.0	12.5	1.44	13.5	15.9	-2.45
Keon Ellis	24	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	10	-22	12.3	12.9	-0.58	13.9	15.9	-1.98
Domantas Sabonis	82	82	-0.43	-0.00	-0.43	-0.37	-2	0	-2	12.4	14.7	-2.37	15.5	14.6	0.90
Malik Monk	54	55	-0.62	0.19	-0.82	-0.42	-7	5	-12	13.0	12.6	0.41	15.1	15.7	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.68,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.3,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.53,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.09,0	90.6%
DAL 111, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.45,0.57,0.16,0	90.5%
MIN 112, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.04,0	90.2%