inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 109 Excitement6.0 [111] MVPKlay Thompson (DAL): +16.3%
Dallas Mavericks 120 Comeback1.9 [157] LVPChris Paul (SAS): -11.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0.120,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.13-0.000.011077%0.1200.00250%-0.02
Jeremy Sochan0.070,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.02-0.00-0.061162%0.114-0.04771%-0.01
Julian Champagnie0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.08-0.020.031275%0.093-0.0600%0.00
Zach Collins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00383%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Blake Wesley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04375%0.0000.002100%-0.00
Charles Bassey0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malaki Branham-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05570%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Tre Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00237%-0.0300.00475%-0.00
Keldon Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.01939%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Stephon Castle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.010.02747%-0.012-0.05367%0.00
Victor Wembanyama-0.100,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.021840%-0.014-0.096100%0.04
Chris Paul-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.01625%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.190.020.051379%0.1600.002100%0.01
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.010.150.01656%0.171-0.02475%0.05
Jaden Hardy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.01-0.03679%0.152-0.062100%0.02
Dereck Lively II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.04871%0.092-0.05560%-0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.001744%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quentin Grimes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.05617%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Naji Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.04617%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luka Doncic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.022548%0.034-0.05875%-0.01
P.J. Washington0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.051146%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.325.315.533.43.331.7137.9
league avg25.82.328.014.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +20.2%
DAL +11.3%
DAL +0.8%
DAL +17.5%
DAL +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game13.813.814.4103.8115.4112.0
season14.613.8109.7115.2
opponent15.014.4109.1110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.914.811.515.513.8
DAL14.414.012.115.213.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Blake Wesley670.07-0.570.64-0.023-242712.714.2-1.5715.313.22.13
Tre Jones3333-0.07-0.430.35-0.132-232513.814.3-0.4514.512.71.78
Zach Collins2930-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-201914.114.2-0.1014.013.01.07
Harrison Barnes6766-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-9-313.715.3-1.6713.014.2-1.22
Keldon Johnson5350-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-9-315.212.72.5713.613.00.54
Chris Paul6362-0.36-0.14-0.220.25-210-2114.313.80.5512.914.3-1.41
Julian Champagnie6264-0.37-0.13-0.240.19-19-2-1713.814.7-0.9012.814.5-1.75
Victor Wembanyama6462-0.37-0.13-0.240.22-20-1-1914.214.10.1013.014.0-1.07
Stephon Castle3937-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.29-3-8514.213.50.6515.412.92.43
Jeremy Sochan6161-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.04-12-9-313.515.4-1.9813.213.5-0.21

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyrie Irving61610.490.010.490.0515-21713.314.2-0.9013.315.1-1.82
Maxi Kleber31330.430.070.36-0.1018-52313.913.50.4114.913.61.23
Klay Thompson58580.330.170.16-0.1416-31913.314.1-0.8514.513.50.98
Luka Doncic81800.270.230.040.0967-113.314.9-1.5514.213.50.66
Daniel Gafford44430.260.240.010.0285312.914.2-1.2813.414.5-1.06
Dereck Lively II57580.240.26-0.010.1058-314.212.91.2814.513.41.06
Quentin Grimes25270.190.31-0.12-0.191301314.613.41.2016.613.13.47
Naji Marshall41420.150.35-0.190.30-518-2314.313.21.0813.414.5-1.19
Jaden Hardy44430.120.38-0.270.26-518-2313.513.8-0.2713.514.5-1.02
P.J. Washington61580.020.48-0.470.19-619-2513.513.8-0.3313.614.7-1.17
Spencer Dinwiddie220.000.50-0.500.00013-1326.013.412.6012.014.1-2.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.88,0.74,0.77,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 95, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
NJN 69, BOS 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%
DET 89, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.2%