NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	9.0 [38]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +31.6%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	9.5 [4]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -16.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0.26	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.25,0.26	0.18	0.12	0.04	20	68%	0.35	2	-0.09	10	100%	0.07
Grant Williams	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.24	0.01	0.23	-0.00	6	67%	0.36	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.09	0.09	0.03	16	67%	0.30	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Richards	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Brandon Miller	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Seth Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	11	45%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	9	28%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.12	0.18	-0.01	23	55%	0.32	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.10	0.08	-0.03	18	35%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	11	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.09
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.00	22	52%	0.07	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	29.4	14.6	28.4	2.4	39.5	141.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +82.1%

HOU -4.3%

CHA +19.5%

HOU -45.9%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	14.9	14.4	112.2	107.1	112.0
season	14.8	14.4		109.5	112.5
opponent	14.0	14.3		104.4	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.2	14.7	14.6	14.3	14.5
HOU	14.0	14.1	14.8	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	78	77	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.50	12	-9	21	14.4	15.5	-1.12	15.4	13.4	1.98
Miles Bridges	63	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.58	2	1	1	14.9	14.1	0.88	15.2	14.5	0.69
Seth Curry	52	51	0.39	0.10	0.29	0.36	1	2	-1	15.3	13.8	1.46	15.5	14.4	1.11
Tre Mann	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	3	-3	14.3	15.2	-0.91	14.5	15.8	-1.31
Nick Richards	48	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.29	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.6	0.03	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Cody Martin	49	49	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.06	4	-1	5	13.9	15.4	-1.48	15.6	14.4	1.24
Moussa Diabate	32	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-3	9	14.6	14.7	-0.10	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Grant Williams	51	47	-0.03	0.52	-0.55	-0.00	-1	4	-5	14.3	15.0	-0.75	15.6	14.5	1.07
Vasilije Micic	30	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	5	-7	15.8	14.1	1.70	15.2	14.9	0.30
Brandon Miller	22	24	-0.17	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	14.8	14.6	0.19	12.3	15.9	-3.57

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	71	69	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.25	10	-15	25	14.7	15.9	-1.18	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Cam Whitmore	19	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-9	13	13.6	15.4	-1.79	14.6	14.5	0.12
Dillon Brooks	62	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.47	14	-19	33	14.3	16.4	-2.11	15.3	13.0	2.24
Jock Landale	20	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	1	-7	15.8	14.8	0.98	14.9	14.4	0.48
Reed Sheppard	32	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	15.7	14.5	1.13	13.8	14.8	-1.06
Jabari Smith Jr.	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-7	9	14.8	15.4	-0.54	15.0	13.5	1.56
Fred VanVleet	76	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-5	5	14.6	16.6	-1.98	14.8	13.5	1.28
Tari Eason	26	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	8	-21	16.2	14.6	1.60	13.3	15.0	-1.64
Jalen Green	71	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.28	-11	6	-17	15.9	12.6	3.34	14.1	15.7	-1.65
Amen Thompson	42	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.07	-19	14	-33	15.3	14.8	0.47	14.1	14.8	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.33,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 115, BKN 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.83,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.09,0	92.0%
SAC 98, VAN 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.42,0	91.0%
CHA 113, BKN 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.46,0.1,0.42,0	91.0%