NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	5.9 [205]		MVP	Malik Monk (SAC): +16.3%
Sacramento Kings	120		Comeback	3.3 [146]		LVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): -13.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.01	0.05	14	85%	0.22	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Reed Sheppard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	20	55%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	15	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	17	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	5	21%	-0.05	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	10	74%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	19	64%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	11	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	19	58%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Colby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	32.3	14.4	35.5	0.1	30.3	137.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +47.1%

HOU -1.7%

HOU -10.9%

SAC +15.5%

HOU -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	14.3	115.6	126.3	111.9
season	14.5	13.8		111.3	114.2
opponent	14.9	14.2		112.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	15.5	16.0	16.0	15.4
SAC	15.9	14.5	14.0	14.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reed Sheppard	25	25	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-21	33	12.6	16.4	-3.77	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Steven Adams	19	18	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.22	9	-18	27	15.6	15.4	0.19	15.9	14.4	1.50
Aaron Holiday	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.25	10	-19	29	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.9	14.6	1.28
Jae'Sean Tate	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	13.0	15.5	-2.51	15.7	14.7	0.97
Amen Thompson	49	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-15	21	14.5	16.4	-1.91	14.6	14.9	-0.31
Tari Eason	50	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-7	5	16.1	14.7	1.36	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Alperen Sengun	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	4	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.06	14.6	15.0	-0.44
Jabari Smith Jr.	72	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.02	-18	9	-27	15.7	14.6	1.13	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Dillon Brooks	48	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.03	-17	8	-25	15.2	15.6	-0.35	14.9	14.6	0.34
Jalen Green	68	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	8	-25	15.4	15.5	-0.05	14.6	15.0	-0.34
Fred VanVleet	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	12	-33	16.4	12.6	3.77	15.0	13.9	1.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-12	33	14.8	14.5	0.28	15.4	15.4	0.06
DeMar DeRozan	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-8	25	15.0	14.1	0.90	15.8	14.6	1.25
Keegan Murray	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-11	31	14.4	16.4	-1.98	15.8	13.4	2.46
De'Aaron Fox	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-8	25	14.4	15.8	-1.33	16.0	13.5	2.44
Domantas Sabonis	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	1	7	14.9	14.4	0.44	15.6	15.0	0.64
Kevin Huerter	51	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	6	-3	14.9	14.5	0.34	14.8	16.2	-1.42
Colby Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Alex Len	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Doug McDermott	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Jordan McLaughlin	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.0	15.5	-2.51
Isaac Jones	37	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.31	-12	21	-33	14.5	14.9	-0.44	14.1	16.3	-2.19
Jae Crowder	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	14	-19	15.0	14.6	0.36	15.3	15.5	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.96,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.76,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%
UTA 100, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
DET 81, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%