NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	4.7 [282]		MVP	Deni Avdija (POR): +11.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	115		Comeback	2.0 [79]		LVP	Keegan Murray (SAC): -11.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	62%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	10	87%	0.16	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Colby Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Kevin Huerter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.16	21	67%	0.02	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	18	51%	0.01	5	-0.09	7	71%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.01	15	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	19	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.03	0.05	14	70%	0.12	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	13	65%	0.14	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	34.5	14.7	29.2	2.3	27.3	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.1%

SAC -8.1%

POR +1.6%

POR +16.0%

SAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.4	14.3	109.3	116.2	111.9
season	13.8	14.3		114.2	107.3
opponent	14.3	14.9		115.3	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.5	13.7	16.4	13.7	14.0
POR	15.2	13.5	15.7	17.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	15	15	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-11	13	12.3	14.3	-1.95	14.7	15.5	-0.86
Doug McDermott	15	16	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.32	12	-21	33	11.2	14.5	-3.29	18.5	14.8	3.70
Orlando Robinson	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	15.3	13.9	1.40	20.2	15.2	5.06
Colby Jones	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-4	-1	12.6	14.1	-1.48	9.0	16.0	-6.96
Jae Crowder	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	0	-9	15.8	12.7	3.12	16.4	14.7	1.69
Jordan McLaughlin	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-5	1	14.6	13.8	0.82	14.5	15.7	-1.17
Isaac Jones	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	13.5	14.3	-0.79	13.9	16.6	-2.67
Keegan Murray	55	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-10	11	14.2	13.6	0.59	16.1	14.3	1.75
Malik Monk	76	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	12.9	17.8	-4.83	14.8	17.8	-3.01
Keon Ellis	47	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	10	-29	15.5	12.5	3.01	15.6	15.2	0.42
Domantas Sabonis	84	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	13.6	16.4	-2.78	15.2	16.4	-1.21
De'Aaron Fox	71	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.4	13.0	1.39	16.1	13.2	2.83

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-3	15	15.0	16.9	-1.95	13.6	15.3	-1.67
Deandre Ayton	85	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	2	5	15.2	16.4	-1.21	13.6	16.4	-2.78
Anfernee Simons	84	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	15.2	16.7	-1.58	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Shaedon Sharpe	76	74	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	7	-5	16.5	11.8	4.65	14.4	12.7	1.63
Toumani Camara	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	10	-11	15.6	15.0	0.57	13.3	15.4	-2.06
Dalano Banton	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-2	13	14.3	16.4	-2.06	14.1	13.8	0.29
Jabari Walker	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	2	5	14.0	15.8	-1.77	15.0	13.7	1.24
Duop Reath	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	8	-7	21.0	15.1	5.90	18.2	13.8	4.45
Kris Murray	31	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	12	-15	16.2	15.0	1.21	15.1	13.5	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, IND 143	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 95, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 103, MIL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.3%