NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	8.4 [88]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +38.9%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	4.0 [222]		LVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): -17.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.39	0.13	0.22	-0.04	18	65%	0.45	2	-0.06	12	75%	0.01
Miles McBride	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	9	70%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	54%	0.14	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	58%	0.10	6	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	11	33%	-0.05	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	5	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	12	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	55%	0.00	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.06
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.14	-0.05	10	41%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16	-0.16	-0.19	-0.04	-0.06	25	37%	0.05	6	-0.21	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.4	25.9	1.7	31.2	2.3	37.0	124.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.8%

NYK +7.6%

NYK +5.4%

CHA -15.5%

NYK +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	14.3	105.3	106.5	111.7
season	15.2	15.0		119.8	107.9
opponent	14.3	14.2		114.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	14.2	15.4	12.7	14.3
CHA	17.0	15.8	14.6	19.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	54	50	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.51	4	-3	7	13.4	15.7	-2.32	16.5	16.9	-0.38
OG Anunoby	75	74	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.53	3	-2	5	14.4	14.1	0.29	16.9	15.5	1.43
Jalen Brunson	70	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	1	-1	14.8	12.9	1.97	16.7	16.5	0.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	-4	9	14.5	13.5	1.04	17.2	13.9	3.29
Josh Hart	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	14.3	14.3	0.04	16.9	14.5	2.39
Cameron Payne	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	-6	13	14.0	14.4	-0.44	17.3	16.5	0.82
Jericho Sims	17	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	2	-3	14.3	14.4	-0.06	14.3	17.1	-2.77
Mikal Bridges	75	73	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	15	-29	14.4	14.0	0.43	15.8	19.8	-4.02

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	25	23	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.22	2	-3	5	14.4	17.5	-3.04	13.3	14.7	-1.37
KJ Simpson	32	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-3	5	17.0	16.5	0.53	13.4	14.8	-1.41
Seth Curry	21	21	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.04	0	-1	1	17.5	16.4	1.07	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Cody Martin	45	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-7	13	15.5	17.8	-2.32	12.4	16.2	-3.79
Nick Smith Jr.	21	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	6	-13	17.0	16.5	0.45	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Brandon Miller	71	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.59	6	-7	13	16.5	17.0	-0.45	14.3	14.3	0.01
Tidjane Salaun	67	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	3	-7	16.7	16.6	0.07	14.8	13.1	1.69
Vasilije Micic	57	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	5	-11	17.0	16.1	0.87	15.4	12.7	2.70
Josh Green	53	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.54	-1	0	-1	17.0	16.2	0.87	15.0	13.3	1.72
Moussa Diabate	68	71	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.69	-3	2	-5	17.2	15.0	2.29	14.7	13.3	1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.8,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.31,0.29,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.65,0.31,0.36,0.1,0.08,0	92.8%
IND 91, NOP 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.53,0.32,0.21,0.14,0.09,0	92.6%
MIA 89, DET 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.23,0.1,0,0	92.5%