NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	7.3 [138]		MVP	Sam Hauser (BOS): +17.3%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	2.9 [348]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -16.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Hauser	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.00	7	93%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	45%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Neemias Queta	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	86%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	6	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Jordan Walsh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	27	50%	0.07	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Xavier Tillman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.02	0.02	19	36%	-0.07	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	19	54%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	60%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	55%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	65%	0.14	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.02	19	56%	0.10	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alexandre Sarr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	9	30%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carlton Carrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	5	17%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	28.9	14.7	34.2	1.8	35.0	143.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.0%

BOS +8.5%

WAS -1.1%

BOS +22.5%

WAS -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	13.2	14.3	103.8	93.2	111.7
season	14.9	13.8		118.2	103.5
opponent	13.9	14.0		117.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	15.2	14.8	13.3	14.6
WAS	11.5	14.2	15.9	12.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	82	81	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.03	20	-8	28	14.3	15.7	-1.45	13.0	13.9	-0.86
Luke Kornet	50	48	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-3	18	14.5	14.7	-0.24	14.5	12.1	2.37
Xavier Tillman	17	17	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	10	-8	13.6	14.8	-1.12	16.2	12.6	3.60
Sam Hauser	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	1	10	14.0	15.1	-1.19	12.8	13.6	-0.87
Jrue Holiday	65	64	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.05	10	2	8	14.2	15.2	-0.95	12.9	13.8	-0.90
Derrick White	79	79	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	9	-6	14.8	13.8	1.04	13.0	14.0	-1.05
Payton Pritchard	49	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	12	-12	14.8	14.4	0.32	13.4	13.1	0.39
Jaylen Brown	80	80	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	8	-4	14.7	14.2	0.49	13.2	13.2	0.08
Jordan Walsh	11	11	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	7	-2	14.4	14.6	-0.25	11.9	13.4	-1.48
Neemias Queta	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	22	-32	16.3	13.6	2.77	12.5	13.7	-1.24

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	76	77	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-18	24	12.5	15.2	-2.65	14.9	13.8	1.04
Malcolm Brogdon	58	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-12	12	12.5	14.2	-1.68	15.0	14.1	0.91
Carlton Carrington	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-10	8	14.0	12.6	1.31	15.0	14.2	0.75
Jonas Valanciunas	39	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-11	10	14.0	12.8	1.19	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Alexandre Sarr	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	13.2	13.2	0.04	15.4	13.5	1.93
Kyshawn George	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-7	2	14.4	12.5	1.92	15.0	14.4	0.61
Jordan Poole	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	12.6	14.9	-2.27	14.7	14.3	0.36
Corey Kispert	38	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	8	-28	13.7	12.9	0.80	11.7	16.4	-4.65
Bilal Coulibaly	86	87	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.04	-22	10	-32	13.4	12.4	0.98	14.4	15.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.32,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.09,0	93.1%
WAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	92.8%
DET 91, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.8%