NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	10.3 [54]		MVP	Derrick White (BOS): +59.1%
Boston Celtics	116		Comeback	15.2 [15]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -16.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.43	0.03	0.40	0.00	11	68%	0.51	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28	0.19	0.09	-0.00	10	95%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jalen Johnson	0.03	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	53%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.3,-0.03	0.01	-0.06	-0.02	21	60%	0.21	6	-0.24	5	60%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	13	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Keaton Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	13	27%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.59,0.59	0.59	0.24	0.35	-0.00	15	89%	0.68	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.2,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	22	69%	0.33	6	-0.23	10	60%	-0.18
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	5	57%	0.05	2	-0.19	4	100%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	16	50%	0.00	5	-0.17	8	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	26.8	14.8	23.2	2.4	34.3	131.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -14.3%

BOS -12.1%

ATL +38.9%

ATL +30.7%

ATL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.0	15.8	14.4	117.0	116.0	113.1
season	13.2	15.3		113.0	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.5		109.2	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.2	13.4	13.0	13.7	13.0
BOS	16.2	15.4	15.2	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	62	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-14	29	13.0	13.2	-0.23	16.5	14.5	1.98
Jalen Johnson	81	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-3	7	13.0	13.2	-0.15	15.8	15.7	0.07
Larry Nance Jr.	54	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.43	2	-1	3	12.7	13.4	-0.73	16.2	15.2	0.94
Keaton Wallace	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.62	-6	7	-13	13.6	11.9	1.73	15.1	17.1	-1.99
Zaccharie Risacher	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-11	23	13.6	12.4	1.28	15.8	15.7	0.02
Dyson Daniels	86	86	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.37	-4	5	-9	12.8	14.4	-1.61	15.6	16.6	-0.94
David Roddy	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	2	-3	14.9	12.8	2.07	17.0	15.6	1.39
Garrison Mathews	50	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	7	-13	11.9	14.2	-2.36	16.1	15.4	0.69
Clint Capela	37	37	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	12	-23	13.5	12.8	0.67	14.5	16.5	-1.98

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	15.7	15.8	-0.10	15.2	12.8	2.40
Jordan Walsh	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	2	-5	17.1	15.7	1.49	16.1	12.8	3.35
Sam Hauser	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	17.6	14.7	2.87	12.8	13.2	-0.45
Neemias Queta	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	5	-11	16.6	15.1	1.48	11.9	13.9	-2.03
Jrue Holiday	64	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-4	7	14.9	17.2	-2.28	13.6	12.2	1.36
Payton Pritchard	52	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	8	-17	17.1	14.3	2.78	11.9	14.3	-2.37
Al Horford	55	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-4	7	15.1	16.6	-1.57	14.0	12.0	2.00
Jaylen Brown	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.1	18.0	-2.93	12.4	15.2	-2.75
Derrick White	77	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.55	5	-6	11	15.7	16.0	-0.37	13.8	10.5	3.26
Jayson Tatum	79	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.55	4	-5	9	15.3	17.3	-1.99	12.8	13.8	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.76,0.8,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 99, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.69,0	92.9%
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	92.0%
PHX 108, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.76,0.85,0	91.9%