NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	5.4 [714]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): +25.7%
Houston Rockets	110		Comeback	1.2 [619]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -9.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.21	0.05	0.09	18	73%	0.23	2	-0.07	9	78%	-0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	92%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tre Mann	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	13	45%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	5	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jaylin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chet Holmgren	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.10	-0.09	17	62%	0.30	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.20	0.04	0.03	13	85%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	6	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	57%	0.02	4	-0.07	11	45%	-0.09
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	14	39%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.0	27.2	14.6	26.1	2.4	32.5	130.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +58.8%

OKC -5.6%

HOU +15.5%

OKC -18.5%

OKC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.4	15.6	14.5	103.1	110.0	113.9
season	13.9	14.2		117.1	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		112.2	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.2	12.6	14.0	11.2	13.4
HOU	14.5	13.6	15.4	19.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cason Wallace	51	53	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.26	12	-21	33	10.9	16.2	-5.29	16.8	14.3	2.47
Jaylin Williams	24	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-14	19	10.8	14.3	-3.51	16.9	15.2	1.67
Isaiah Joe	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-12	15	12.7	13.8	-1.06	15.5	15.7	-0.21
Aaron Wiggins	34	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	13.0	13.7	-0.63	15.7	15.6	0.08
Tre Mann	48	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-16	23	12.0	14.8	-2.86	17.7	13.6	4.06
Kenrich Williams	30	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-8	7	13.4	13.5	-0.06	17.7	14.8	2.95
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	75	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-3	-3	13.4	13.7	-0.34	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Josh Giddey	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	2	-13	15.5	11.4	4.14	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Chet Holmgren	54	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	7	-23	14.7	11.9	2.78	13.6	18.2	-4.64
Jalen Williams	66	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	13.7	12.8	0.93	15.6	15.7	-0.04
Luguentz Dort	30	30	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.27	-27	18	-45	17.3	11.7	5.61	12.9	16.8	-3.95

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	68	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	0	9	14.6	17.8	-3.16	14.4	11.6	2.81
Dillon Brooks	82	82	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	6	-3	16.0	13.9	2.06	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Alperen Sengun	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-3	15	15.4	16.3	-0.91	13.5	13.2	0.28
Fred VanVleet	79	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-2	13	15.3	17.0	-1.73	13.4	13.7	-0.29
Tari Eason	48	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	1	7	16.3	15.0	1.35	12.3	14.4	-2.12
Jae'Sean Tate	30	29	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	6	-3	15.3	15.8	-0.42	14.8	12.9	1.97
Jalen Green	50	52	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	9	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.94	14.1	12.7	1.44
Aaron Holiday	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	14	-19	17.3	13.5	3.81	12.0	15.3	-3.32
Reggie Bullock Jr.	15	13	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	5	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.82	14.4	13.3	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, NOP 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 94, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
BKN 89, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%