NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	4.2 [950]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): +13.4%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.4 [905]		LVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): -10.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	15	53%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.01	0.08	18	66%	0.08	5	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Nick Richards	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	24	48%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	14	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	13	35%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.02	-0.08	17	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	16	51%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	7	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.04	20	54%	0.01	2	-0.00	14	86%	-0.02
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	28.3	14.4	26.5	2.2	37.4	135.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.5%

CHA -1.5%

CHI +9.6%

CHI +6.2%

CHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	13.5	15.1	14.5	99.0	109.9	113.9
season	14.8	14.5		108.3	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.5		115.1	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.3	13.6	16.6	9.6	13.5
CHI	15.1	15.1	11.8	18.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-5	-1	14.3	13.1	1.16	12.8	16.0	-3.17
Gordon Hayward	76	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-13	15	12.8	15.4	-2.53	15.1	14.8	0.29
P.J. Washington	62	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-6	1	13.3	13.7	-0.47	14.3	16.2	-1.95
Bryce McGowens	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-1	-9	15.1	12.7	2.37	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Miles Bridges	82	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-5	-1	13.5	13.1	0.50	15.3	14.1	1.20
Terry Rozier	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	0	-11	13.2	14.4	-1.20	15.6	12.5	3.04
Nick Richards	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	13.5	13.4	0.15	15.6	14.3	1.24
Brandon Miller	82	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-3	-5	13.3	14.0	-0.67	15.3	14.0	1.26

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	78	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-6	23	15.3	14.4	0.87	13.9	12.0	1.91
Coby White	80	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	14.5	17.1	-2.63	13.6	12.7	0.94
Ayo Dosunmu	47	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	0	11	13.5	16.4	-2.94	13.8	13.1	0.72
Patrick Williams	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	6	-1	15.0	15.1	-0.14	13.8	13.0	0.80
Andre Drummond	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	1	9	15.5	14.9	0.56	14.7	13.0	1.74
Jevon Carter	22	23	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	17.1	14.5	2.60	13.3	13.5	-0.25
Nikola Vucevic	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	9	-7	15.1	15.0	0.04	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Alex Caruso	64	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.25	-4	15	-19	15.8	13.7	2.14	12.5	15.0	-2.48
Dalen Terry	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	7	-3	13.8	15.1	-1.30	16.2	13.3	2.88
Torrey Craig	38	35	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	10	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.05	12.2	14.1	-1.92
Julian Phillips	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	13	-15	15.7	15.0	0.69	12.9	13.5	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
IND 111, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	95.5%
HOU 93, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%