NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	6.4 [535]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +22.1%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	2.7 [484]		LVP	Derrick Rose (MEM): -14.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.28	0.06	0.12	31	71%	0.32	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.02
John Konchar	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	90%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Nowell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	8	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.02	20	56%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Gilyard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.16	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.07	15	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	13	44%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.04	5	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	14	52%	0.03	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	24.7	14.6	27.0	1.8	26.3	119.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +40.2%

DET -4.5%

MEM +6.9%

MEM +8.3%

DET -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	14.5	113.7	100.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		106.3	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		117.6	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	13.0	13.0	15.8	14.2
DET	13.6	12.2	15.8	14.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	45	46	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.10	22	-8	30	13.8	14.5	-0.74	14.9	13.3	1.59
Vince Williams Jr.	49	50	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-3	20	13.9	14.5	-0.61	15.7	12.4	3.26
Santi Aldama	53	50	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	0	14	15.3	13.0	2.30	14.6	13.5	1.06
Jaren Jackson Jr.	75	77	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	-1	16	13.3	16.8	-3.53	14.3	13.3	0.98
Jaylen Nowell	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	6	2	14.4	14.1	0.30	14.4	13.6	0.74
Derrick Rose	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	12	-10	13.4	14.7	-1.29	13.7	14.2	-0.42
Bismack Biyombo	54	54	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	15	-16	15.2	13.1	2.10	13.6	14.5	-0.83
Xavier Tillman	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	12.9	14.5	-1.52	12.7	14.3	-1.58
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.0	14.2	-3.25	9.0	14.1	-5.07
Ziaire Williams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.0	14.2	-3.25	9.0	14.1	-5.07
Jacob Gilyard	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	11.0	14.2	-3.25	9.0	14.1	-5.07
Desmond Bane	77	76	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	15	-16	14.4	13.6	0.76	13.5	15.5	-1.99
David Roddy	50	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	19	-24	14.8	13.6	1.19	12.3	15.6	-3.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	66	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-16	18	13.2	15.6	-2.46	14.6	13.6	0.98
Isaiah Stewart	61	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-10	6	14.0	14.1	-0.17	14.2	14.3	-0.12
Marcus Sasser	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-9	4	16.7	13.7	2.97	13.8	14.3	-0.46
Killian Hayes	59	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-8	2	14.1	13.9	0.15	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Bojan Bogdanovic	69	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-13	12	12.9	16.3	-3.42	14.5	13.5	1.00
Cade Cunningham	73	74	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-13	12	13.0	16.6	-3.59	14.5	13.5	1.04
Alec Burks	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-9	4	14.4	13.8	0.57	14.2	14.2	-0.08
James Wiseman	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	17.0	13.5	3.49	13.3	14.4	-1.03
Isaiah Livers	39	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	3	-20	15.2	13.3	1.92	14.3	14.1	0.20
Jaden Ivey	49	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-4	-6	14.2	13.8	0.43	14.3	14.2	0.09
Ausar Thompson	33	32	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	1	-16	16.0	13.1	2.97	13.2	14.7	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.2,0.27,0.13,0.12,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.0%
MIN 97, CHH 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	92.8%
MEM 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	92.8%