NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	9.5 [102]		MVP	Jake LaRavia (MEM): +43.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	120		Comeback	3.9 [813]		LVP	Jordan Goodwin (MEM): -30.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.04,0.04,0.31	0.10	0.21	0.00	20	73%	0.50	8	-0.19	11	73%	0.04
Rui Hachimura	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	6	100%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Anthony Davis	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	22	59%	0.19	4	-0.11	17	76%	-0.15
Gabe Vincent	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	76%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake LaRavia	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.21	0.20	-0.03	13	76%	0.48	1	-0.04	11	100%	0.13
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.08,0.23,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.01	23	65%	0.24	2	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.03	22	61%	0.26	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Jemison	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Timmy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zavier Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jack White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.3	-0.30	-0.03	-0.22	0.05	23	44%	-0.24	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	28.3	14.7	28.2	2.4	38.4	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.5%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +10.6%

LAL +2.9%

LAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.3	14.5	14.5	119.4	115.4	113.9
season	14.1	14.8		114.4	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		113.2	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.0	14.2	13.4	15.0	13.3
MEM	15.7	13.5	14.3	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gabe Vincent	43	42	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.07	27	-24	51	11.4	14.7	-3.30	15.0	14.1	0.87
Taurean Prince	54	51	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-14	31	12.5	14.3	-1.80	15.1	13.9	1.13
Anthony Davis	91	92	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.39	2	1	1	13.5	12.5	0.95	14.5	14.4	0.07
LeBron James	89	90	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.43	-3	6	-9	13.4	13.1	0.31	14.4	14.9	-0.43
Spencer Dinwiddie	43	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-6	15	12.1	14.2	-2.10	14.1	14.8	-0.66
D'Angelo Russell	86	86	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	1	1	13.7	11.4	2.31	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Jaxson Hayes	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	2	-1	12.5	13.5	-0.95	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Rui Hachimura	60	63	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.28	-17	20	-37	14.5	11.7	2.78	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Austin Reaves	50	55	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.30	-22	25	-47	14.7	12.1	2.60	14.2	14.8	-0.56

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Jemison	75	74	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.04	8	-11	19	14.4	14.7	-0.29	13.7	12.3	1.43
Scotty Pippen Jr.	68	65	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.10	9	-12	21	14.0	15.3	-1.30	13.4	13.3	0.12
GG Jackson	86	85	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-14	25	14.3	15.4	-1.10	13.9	10.7	3.17
Jake LaRavia	94	93	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.44	9	-12	21	14.4	15.7	-1.35	13.5	11.7	1.82
Jordan Goodwin	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	1	-5	14.7	13.7	1.00	13.3	13.6	-0.29
Zavier Simpson	28	28	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.06	-21	18	-39	15.1	14.2	0.91	10.9	14.3	-3.41
Jack White	32	32	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	7	-17	14.3	14.5	-0.20	12.8	13.6	-0.76
Timmy Allen	58	58	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.43	-17	14	-31	15.0	13.8	1.25	13.3	13.4	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.24,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 92, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.19,0.45,0.32,0.42,0	89.8%
GSW 90, VAN 85	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.76,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.26,0	89.7%
MIN 119, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.69,0	89.6%