NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	129		Excitement	10.2 [63]		MVP	Javonte Green (CHI): +27.6%
Washington Wizards	127		Comeback	4.0 [246]		LVP	Onuralp Bitim (CHI): -24.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Javonte Green	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.03	-0.05	15	77%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.17	-0.01	7	79%	0.30	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.11	0.01	15	67%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	16	51%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Dalen Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	71%	0.22	3	-0.14	8	50%	-0.07
Henri Drell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Adama Sanogo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	18	49%	0.13	2	-0.09	9	67%	-0.09
Andrew Funk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onuralp Bitim	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.15	-0.02	10	29%	-0.12	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Kispert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.14	-0.01	15	72%	0.33	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	-0.00	9	68%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	12	69%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.04
Johnny Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	8	83%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eugene Omoruyi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.08,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	15	63%	0.11	4	-0.13	8	62%	-0.19
Justin Champagnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Vukcevic	0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,-0.1,-0.2,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	0.04	-0.21	0.03	11	61%	0.02	3	-0.22	9	78%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	24.4	15.4	25.4	2.7	41.0	139.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +3.4%

CHI +13.4%

CHI +32.6%

WAS -1.9%

CHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	13.3	14.5	119.4	122.1	113.9
season	14.5	13.7		113.4	109.8
opponent	14.1	15.0		118.7	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	14.9	13.6	12.3	13.9
WAS	10.7	15.8	14.6	12.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henri Drell	55	52	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.66	7	-5	12	13.4	14.4	-1.01	13.3	13.3	0.02
Adama Sanogo	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	13.6	14.5	-0.93	13.6	12.3	1.35
Torrey Craig	76	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.61	-1	3	-4	13.3	15.2	-1.84	13.6	12.6	1.02
Jevon Carter	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-7	16	13.9	13.7	0.20	13.9	11.5	2.35
Javonte Green	58	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	13.9	13.8	0.11	13.5	13.1	0.45
Dalen Terry	61	60	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.47	-13	15	-28	13.5	14.3	-0.74	12.4	14.5	-2.00
Andrew Funk	16	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	2	-2	13.7	13.9	-0.13	13.5	13.3	0.27
Coby White	62	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	14.8	12.7	2.11	12.5	14.3	-1.80
Onuralp Bitim	54	52	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.16	-7	9	-16	14.7	13.0	1.76	13.0	13.6	-0.52

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Champagnie	37	38	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.15	-2	0	-2	13.1	13.4	-0.34	14.8	13.4	1.43
Johnny Davis	51	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-4	6	13.7	12.9	0.76	14.7	13.1	1.57
Tristan Vukcevic	51	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.46	10	-12	22	12.1	14.4	-2.32	13.1	14.6	-1.57
Eugene Omoruyi	24	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.0	13.1	0.97	14.1	13.8	0.28
Anthony Gill	35	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	8	-18	14.5	12.7	1.83	14.9	13.4	1.52
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	89	93	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-7	12	13.2	13.9	-0.74	13.6	15.3	-1.63
Deni Avdija	84	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.59	5	-7	12	13.2	13.5	-0.31	13.5	15.5	-2.00
Corey Kispert	87	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-4	6	13.2	13.9	-0.70	14.1	12.9	1.11
Jared Butler	62	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.23	-14	12	-26	13.5	13.0	0.50	13.3	14.8	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.76,0.45,0.31,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, PHX 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.16,0.02,0	91.0%
SAS 82, GSW 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.25,0.04,0	89.7%
UTA 127, PHX 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.72,0.43,0.17,0	89.6%