NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	110		Excitement	5.4 [708]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +36.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	3.0 [950]		LVP	Dalano Banton (POR): -11.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.26	0.10	0.00	17	74%	0.36	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.05	0.04	19	69%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	4	50%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Ryan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	18	49%	0.00	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	78%	0.19	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.02	0.04	22	68%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.08	8	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	18	49%	0.11	8	-0.22	3	100%	0.02
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	22.0	14.7	25.0	2.0	30.2	120.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -9.0%

NOP +18.0%

POR -4.5%

NOP +47.4%

POR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	13.5	15.8	14.5	110.0	103.1	113.9
season	14.4	14.8		114.8	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		116.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.8	15.0	13.6	12.8	13.5
POR	15.5	16.3	15.9	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Herbert Jones	77	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.19	29	-19	48	12.9	15.5	-2.61	16.7	12.5	4.19
Trey Murphy III	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	-12	34	13.3	14.3	-0.98	16.0	14.9	1.08
Jonas Valanciunas	44	43	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.05	18	-8	26	12.7	14.1	-1.40	16.6	15.1	1.51
CJ McCollum	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	-8	26	13.1	14.5	-1.41	16.6	13.7	2.96
Zion Williamson	69	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-1	12	13.8	12.8	0.97	15.3	16.9	-1.67
Jose Alvarado	41	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	14.6	12.7	1.86	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Dyson Daniels	58	56	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	16	-22	13.9	13.0	0.88	15.6	16.0	-0.33
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	13.2	13.5	-0.37	8.6	16.2	-7.55
Cody Zeller	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	13.2	13.5	-0.37	8.6	16.2	-7.55
Matt Ryan	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	13.2	13.5	-0.37	8.6	16.2	-7.55
Jordan Hawkins	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	13.2	13.5	-0.37	8.6	16.2	-7.55
Larry Nance Jr.	40	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	14.7	12.7	2.02	15.9	15.7	0.22

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Duop Reath	23	26	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.40	18	-28	46	14.4	16.2	-1.74	15.8	12.7	3.10
Justin Minaya	42	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.33	9	-19	28	14.4	16.8	-2.48	14.3	12.9	1.42
Rayan Rupert	69	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-11	12	15.9	15.5	0.32	13.8	12.7	1.11
Dalano Banton	63	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-15	20	15.3	16.6	-1.32	14.0	12.6	1.40
Kris Murray	75	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	15.7	16.0	-0.25	13.6	13.4	0.19
Deandre Ayton	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.19	-26	16	-42	16.4	13.8	2.56	12.7	15.8	-3.10
Jabari Walker	57	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	8	-26	16.0	15.4	0.58	13.2	14.0	-0.87
Scoot Henderson	83	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	0.21	-31	21	-52	16.4	11.7	4.73	12.6	17.8	-5.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
DEN 104, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
MIN 120, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%