NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	5.2 [761]		MVP	Evan Fournier (DET): +18.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	120		Comeback	1.1 [1275]		LVP	Chimezie Metu (DET): -15.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.00	-0.01	11	81%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Buddy Boeheim	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jaylen Nowell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	-0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	17	62%	0.05	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Malachi Flynn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.06	9	67%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Rhoden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Chimezie Metu	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	10	35%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	22	69%	0.22	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	12	69%	0.07	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	47%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	9	28%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Terquavion Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	23.5	14.5	32.3	2.4	27.3	128.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.5%

DET -1.2%

PHI +7.2%

PHI +18.9%

DET -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.5	101.0	120.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.9		108.4	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.6	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.1	15.0	13.2	14.8	14.0
PHI	14.6	17.8	12.9	14.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Boeheim	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	14.0	13.9	0.05	16.0	14.6	1.37
Jalen Duren	55	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-13	8	14.4	13.4	1.07	15.4	13.9	1.49
Troy Brown Jr.	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.15	-7	-11	4	14.0	13.9	0.01	15.1	14.4	0.67
Jared Rhoden	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.18	0	-18	18	13.7	14.1	-0.39	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Marcus Sasser	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-12	6	13.7	14.3	-0.61	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Jaden Ivey	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-8	-2	13.9	14.0	-0.12	14.3	15.5	-1.11
Jaylen Nowell	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-6	-6	14.6	13.8	0.82	14.8	14.7	0.08
Chimezie Metu	74	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-9	0	13.6	14.9	-1.28	15.1	13.7	1.43
Malachi Flynn	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-6	-6	14.3	13.7	0.61	15.1	14.4	0.68
Evan Fournier	54	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	1	-20	14.4	13.5	0.86	14.5	14.9	-0.37
James Wiseman	46	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	-5	-8	13.4	14.4	-1.07	13.9	15.4	-1.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	54	56	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-3	24	13.7	15.9	-2.27	14.2	13.6	0.63
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	9	0	14.1	15.2	-1.15	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Joel Embiid	77	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	1	16	14.5	15.3	-0.83	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Kelly Oubre Jr.	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	10	-2	14.5	15.0	-0.57	14.5	13.2	1.30
Ricky Council IV	23	24	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	13	-8	12.6	15.4	-2.79	13.0	14.2	-1.19
Paul Reed	27	28	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	15	-12	14.4	14.8	-0.36	13.5	14.1	-0.62
Nicolas Batum	61	59	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	9	0	15.5	13.5	2.00	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Cameron Payne	54	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	9	0	15.2	14.1	1.15	14.4	13.5	0.91
De'Anthony Melton	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	9	0	15.9	14.1	1.81	14.2	13.8	0.44
Tobias Harris	56	58	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	14	-10	15.5	13.7	1.80	14.1	13.7	0.40
Mo Bamba	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	16.0	14.6	1.37	14.0	13.9	0.05
Terquavion Smith	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	15.2	14.7	0.56	13.2	14.0	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.8,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
HOU 86, ORL 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
IND 94, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%