NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	122		Excitement	6.1 [575]		MVP	Bobby Portis (MIL): +30.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	4.0 [202]		LVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): -12.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.08	0.06	32	57%	0.24	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.00	9	86%	0.23	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	9	75%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.23	0.02	0.11	14	87%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Miles McBride	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	9	35%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	10	20%	-0.13	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.00	15	80%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.14	4	-0.11	15	93%	0.06
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TyTy Washington Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	20	55%	0.12	4	-0.14	11	73%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.04	5	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.6	32.2	14.8	28.4	2.3	27.5	135.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.0%

MIL -3.8%

NYK +1.7%

NYK +29.5%

NYK +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	14.5	131.2	117.2	113.9
season	15.6	14.3		116.8	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.8	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.9	14.9	16.6	16.9	16.3
MIL	13.1	14.5	16.1	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-2	17	16.2	16.7	-0.57	15.5	11.7	3.83
OG Anunoby	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	6	1	15.7	19.1	-3.35	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Jalen Brunson	78	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	2	9	16.2	16.8	-0.61	14.0	18.1	-4.12
Bojan Bogdanovic	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	8	-3	16.4	16.2	0.18	15.7	14.1	1.59
Mitchell Robinson	37	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	7	-1	17.2	15.7	1.58	14.0	15.1	-1.17
Isaiah Hartenstein	56	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	6	1	15.7	17.2	-1.58	15.1	14.0	1.17
Josh Hart	71	73	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.00	8	5	3	16.2	16.6	-0.39	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Miles McBride	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	12	-11	17.4	15.7	1.67	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Precious Achiuwa	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	8	-3	19.4	16.0	3.49	13.6	14.8	-1.24

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	24	23	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-17	21	14.1	14.9	-0.80	19.3	15.3	3.95
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	15.0	14.7	0.33	18.0	16.3	1.73
Chris Livingston	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	15.0	14.7	0.33	18.0	16.3	1.73
TyTy Washington Jr.	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	15.0	14.7	0.33	18.0	16.3	1.73
Ryan Rollins	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-10	7	15.0	14.7	0.33	18.0	16.3	1.73
Andre Jackson Jr.	8	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-8	3	14.4	14.7	-0.33	15.4	16.4	-0.93
AJ Green	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-14	15	15.7	14.3	1.43	15.8	16.5	-0.73
Jae Crowder	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	16.0	14.1	1.94	17.2	15.9	1.38
Brook Lopez	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	14.3	15.4	-1.16	15.7	17.4	-1.72
Bobby Portis	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	14.7	14.7	0.00	17.1	15.1	1.96
Damian Lillard	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-5	-3	13.9	18.1	-4.21	16.1	17.2	-1.16
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-8	3	14.8	14.2	0.63	15.8	18.6	-2.82
Malik Beasley	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	15.4	14.0	1.36	16.5	16.1	0.34
Pat Connaughton	61	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	-2	-9	14.6	14.9	-0.35	15.6	17.8	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0	93.7%
CHI 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
SAS 107, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.1%