inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 115 Excitement4.7 [843] MVPBrandon Miller (CHA): +20.6%
Charlotte Hornets 124 Comeback1.0 [173] LVPCole Anthony (ORL): -12.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Franz Wagner0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.04-0.051655%0.1610.00875%0.00
Gary Harris0.110,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.010.00875%0.1100.0000%0.00
Markelle Fultz0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011160%0.062-0.043100%0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.010.041065%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Moritz Wagner-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.03567%0.031-0.032100%0.00
Joe Ingles-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02260%0.022-0.0410%-0.01
Paolo Banchero-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.020.032650%0.043-0.071292%0.02
Jalen Suggs-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.010.03850%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cole Anthony-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.01812%-0.1200.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.240.020.0613103%0.295-0.095100%0.02
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.02875%0.121-0.0400%0.00
Grant Williams0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.00-0.011367%0.133-0.061100%0.00
Vasilije Micic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.03961%0.093-0.035100%0.02
Aleksej Pokusevski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.00-0.00391%0.102-0.045100%0.02
JT Thor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.012100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Marques Bolden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Miles Bridges0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.010.021759%0.093-0.055100%0.01
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.01558%0.0110.002100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.10.329.414.626.12.333.5131.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +62.3%
ORL -0.2%
CHA +0.8%
ORL -12.7%
ORL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHANBAORLCHANBA
this game15.813.914.5118.6127.8113.9
season15.114.8111.8108.3
opponent14.514.4118.7109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL19.016.315.013.315.8
CHA13.713.713.215.013.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moritz Wagner2222-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-152114.616.1-1.5014.813.61.19
Cole Anthony3938-0.07-0.430.37-0.215-141915.815.80.0414.913.31.64
Joe Ingles4341-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-131716.015.60.4514.413.50.90
Markelle Fultz6263-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-7515.815.70.0814.512.81.65
Gary Harris5859-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.15-5-4-115.915.70.1713.514.4-0.90
Franz Wagner5760-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.14-6-3-315.516.2-0.7313.614.4-0.78
Jalen Suggs4747-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-134-1715.815.80.0713.114.6-1.49
Wendell Carter Jr.7575-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.03-156-2116.114.61.5013.614.8-1.19
Paolo Banchero8280-0.580.08-0.66-0.02-1910-2915.815.9-0.1713.615.1-1.48

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Miles Bridges84830.67-0.170.830.1418-92714.013.40.5915.914.91.01
Vasilije Micic69710.56-0.060.62-0.0320-113113.614.7-1.1515.915.40.56
Grant Williams80780.400.100.300.1972514.112.81.3015.616.7-1.17
Brandon Miller83820.400.100.300.1972513.516.0-2.4615.617.0-1.43
Tre Mann66640.390.110.280.1390913.215.4-2.1416.314.81.43
Aleksej Pokusevski34360.220.28-0.060.0463314.613.51.0215.416.0-0.56
Marques Bolden17190.100.40-0.300.0427-512.814.1-1.3016.715.61.17
Davis Bertans3938-0.070.57-0.640.37-1524-3915.812.63.2215.516.0-0.48
JT Thor1314-0.170.67-0.830.10-918-2713.414.0-0.5914.915.9-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 104, DAL 1200.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
LAC 84, MIN 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.7%
IND 110, GSW 1220.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,194.1%