NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	5.4 [743]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +27.6%
Golden State Warriors	122		Comeback	1.0 [1286]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (IND): -12.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.20	-0.00	0.07	17	72%	0.17	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	14	60%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.04	12	57%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Paul George	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	37%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	8	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.30	0.06	0.09	19	83%	0.31	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	7	76%	0.16	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	15	69%	0.11	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	16	53%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	10	26%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	34.2	16.8	27.4	2.7	33.2	143.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.6%

GSW +12.0%

GSW +0.8%

IND -2.8%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	13.0	14.9	107.8	119.6	105.1
season	14.6	13.7		103.2	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.9		102.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	15.2	14.0	14.4	15.2
GSW	11.4	13.6	13.7	13.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-13	14	15.7	15.0	0.65	13.7	12.8	0.90
CJ Miles	53	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-19	26	14.4	16.1	-1.77	12.0	14.1	-2.15
Lavoy Allen	46	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-12	12	16.5	14.2	2.28	13.2	12.9	0.34
Joe Young	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-15	18	15.9	14.3	1.56	13.0	13.0	0.02
Myles Turner	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-13	14	16.0	14.2	1.88	12.9	13.2	-0.26
Jordan Hill	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	0	-12	15.3	15.2	0.13	13.9	12.6	1.37
Solomon Hill	46	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	0	-12	13.6	16.6	-2.98	13.4	12.7	0.69
Monta Ellis	54	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	4	-20	15.0	15.5	-0.44	13.1	12.9	0.18
Glenn Robinson	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	5	-22	14.8	16.0	-1.16	12.5	14.0	-1.46
Paul George	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.04	-15	3	-18	15.2	15.3	-0.08	13.2	12.6	0.61

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	78	80	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.05	22	-10	32	12.8	13.8	-1.02	15.0	16.0	-1.05
Draymond Green	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-7	26	13.2	12.6	0.62	15.3	15.0	0.25
Klay Thompson	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-6	24	13.5	11.8	1.69	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Andrew Bogut	39	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-5	22	14.5	12.1	2.35	15.6	15.0	0.56
Harrison Barnes	78	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	2	8	13.0	13.1	-0.15	14.6	17.1	-2.54
Andre Iguodala	61	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	17	-22	12.2	14.3	-2.10	15.3	15.1	0.13
Shaun Livingston	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	16	-20	14.6	12.3	2.25	16.7	14.6	2.18
Festus Ezeli	23	25	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	16	-20	11.0	13.6	-2.65	16.3	14.9	1.40
Leandro Barbosa	30	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	18	-24	11.9	13.5	-1.57	16.0	14.9	1.14
Brandon Rush	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	12.7	13.0	-0.27	9.0	15.4	-6.41
Ian Clark	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	12.7	13.0	-0.27	9.0	15.4	-6.41
Marreese Speights	14	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	17	-22	13.4	13.0	0.40	14.5	15.3	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DEN 58, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 84, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%