NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	8.9 [151]		MVP	Noah Clowney (BKN): +31.9%
Brooklyn Nets	115		Comeback	6.8 [127]		LVP	Ben Sheppard (IND): -5.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,0.04,0.11,0.29,0.24,0.14	-0.02	0.14	-0.02	27	45%	0.33	2	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	22	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	74%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	6	57%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.04	-0.06	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.13	-0.00	9	88%	0.34	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.17	-0.01	13	59%	0.31	2	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.13	-0.03	10	64%	0.23	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11	0.11	-0.06	0.15	-0.03	14	41%	0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.05	-0.03	21	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	27.4	14.4	27.4	1.7	35.2	135.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +45.9%

BKN +6.8%

IND -3.3%

BKN +6.4%

IND -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	14.5	116.8	117.3	113.9
season	13.8	14.8		120.0	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		114.7	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	15.9	13.7	15.5	14.9
BKN	15.6	12.9	16.3	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	43	44	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.19	17	-21	38	13.7	15.8	-2.07	16.5	13.7	2.82
Obi Toppin	39	42	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.25	17	-21	38	14.4	15.2	-0.84	14.2	15.6	-1.32
T.J. McConnell	38	40	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.07	6	-10	16	13.5	15.8	-2.25	16.0	14.3	1.71
Doug McDermott	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	0	-4	15.4	14.8	0.62	12.8	15.3	-2.56
Ben Sheppard	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	1	-6	13.9	15.7	-1.78	14.9	15.1	-0.27
Tyrese Haliburton	72	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	14.8	15.0	-0.25	15.3	14.0	1.26
Aaron Nesmith	54	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	15.5	14.0	1.59	14.9	15.1	-0.23
Jalen Smith	45	45	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	15	-34	16.2	13.7	2.52	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Andrew Nembhard	56	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.27	-11	7	-18	15.7	13.7	1.97	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Pascal Siakam	69	72	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.34	-20	16	-36	15.1	14.2	0.91	14.7	15.8	-1.11

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	72	71	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.41	17	-13	30	14.9	15.3	-0.49	15.3	13.4	1.92
Dennis Schroder	71	70	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.40	17	-13	30	15.0	14.9	0.19	15.3	13.7	1.54
Dorian Finney-Smith	72	69	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.51	13	-9	22	15.1	14.8	0.30	15.3	13.6	1.76
Nic Claxton	66	63	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.34	18	-14	32	13.8	17.4	-3.63	15.7	13.2	2.56
Cam Thomas	79	76	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	2	0	15.0	14.8	0.25	15.6	12.0	3.57
Noah Clowney	34	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.26	-14	18	-32	16.7	14.1	2.58	13.0	15.8	-2.79
Jalen Wilson	23	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.00	-9	13	-22	13.5	15.5	-1.98	13.0	15.4	-2.41
Trendon Watford	26	25	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.07	-11	15	-26	15.3	14.9	0.49	14.2	15.1	-0.83
Cameron Johnson	47	47	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.02	-13	17	-30	15.9	14.2	1.74	13.0	16.7	-3.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.74,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.68,0.82,0.7,0.82,0.62,0.54,0.31,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, BKN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.25,0.74,1	89.7%
SAS 77, IND 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.96,1	89.1%
ORL 111, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.31,0.42,1	88.8%