NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	5.9 [611]		MVP	Terry Rozier (MIA): +35.6%
Miami Heat	109		Comeback	1.1 [918]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -21.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles McBride	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	16	71%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.03	0.03	21	69%	0.19	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Josh Hart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	0.01	18	43%	-0.09	5	-0.13	10	90%	0.04

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36	0.36	0.30	0.10	0.04	15	94%	0.42	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.07
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	11	64%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Nikola Jovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	57%	0.09	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	25.7	14.6	30.5	1.8	33.4	135.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +30.0%

MIA +21.6%

MIA +4.4%

NYK -8.6%

MIA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	14.5	106.5	117.2	113.9
season	15.6	14.9		116.8	112.3
opponent	14.8	14.4		111.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	14.6	16.6	15.4	15.7
MIA	14.3	13.6	15.4	18.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	36	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	16.2	15.4	0.76	15.6	15.1	0.58
Mitchell Robinson	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-4	-2	16.1	15.6	0.51	13.2	15.9	-2.62
Alec Burks	6	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-4	-2	20.3	15.4	4.95	10.8	15.6	-4.74
Bojan Bogdanovic	37	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-10	10	16.8	15.0	1.85	15.7	15.0	0.77
Miles McBride	87	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-6	2	15.4	20.3	-4.95	15.6	10.8	4.74
Josh Hart	87	87	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-6	2	15.6	16.5	-0.86	15.8	7.7	8.13
Precious Achiuwa	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	15.1	16.4	-1.32	14.8	15.9	-1.04
Jalen Brunson	70	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	15.7	15.7	-0.05	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Donte DiVincenzo	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	7	-24	15.2	16.9	-1.67	15.2	15.4	-0.23

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	74	75	0.53	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	0	10	15.7	13.4	2.32	15.9	15.1	0.80
Bam Adebayo	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-3	16	15.1	15.5	-0.42	15.9	15.3	0.59
Nikola Jovic	49	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.02	13	-3	16	14.7	15.9	-1.26	15.7	15.7	-0.07
Terry Rozier	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	0	10	15.4	15.0	0.33	15.8	15.5	0.22
Caleb Martin	49	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	15.2	15.4	-0.22	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	26	25	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	1	8	13.6	15.9	-2.30	16.8	15.3	1.56
Haywood Highsmith	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	11	-12	15.7	14.6	1.17	14.9	16.7	-1.76
Kevin Love	32	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	13	-16	15.1	15.3	-0.22	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Duncan Robinson	53	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	16	-22	15.5	15.0	0.43	16.1	15.1	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 96, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.88,0.83,0.55,0.72,0.83,0.95,1	94.1%
CHI 101, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.85,0.98,1,1	94.1%
BOS 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.83,1	94.0%