inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Excitement9.4 [107] MVPKelly Oubre Jr. (PHI): +31.9%
Philadelphia 76ers 109 Comeback19.2 [66] LVPJosh Giddey (OKC): -18.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenrich Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.02-0.004100%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Gordon Hayward0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.040.00570%0.0800.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,0.050.020.02-0.011062%0.273-0.22450%-0.03
Chet Holmgren0.030,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.030.09-0.040.021467%0.173-0.145100%0.05
Lindy Waters III-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.020.03-0.040.011348%-0.0200.005100%0.03
Cason Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00837%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00833%-0.022-0.082100%0.04
Isaiah Joe-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.12-0.00-0.15-0.031350%-0.052-0.072100%0.02
Josh Giddey-0.180,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18-0.02-0.16-0.00850%0.032-0.21450%-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.130.18-0.011668%0.392-0.085100%0.05
Joel Embiid0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.15,0.160.16-0.010.17-0.001460%0.346-0.1812100%0.21
Paul Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.040.01875%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.010.001100%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
KJ Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Cameron Payne0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.001145%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00658%0.073-0.1200%0.00
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02-0.00650%0.022-0.072100%0.01
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.14-0.140.06-0.190.011456%-0.121-0.02475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.524.016.030.43.341.1142.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +5.9%
PHI +28.0%
OKC -9.2%
PHI +25.0%
PHI +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPHINBAOKCPHINBA
this game15.014.314.5106.1111.2113.9
season13.814.9117.4115.6
opponent14.514.7112.6109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.216.214.314.215.0
PHI13.615.113.914.614.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindy Waters III16150.17-0.670.84-0.047-111816.114.71.3815.714.01.73
Gordon Hayward39380.02-0.520.540.11-3-1-215.214.80.3914.813.90.94
Mike Muscala12120.00-0.500.500.000-4415.214.90.2213.014.4-1.44
Cason Wallace2829-0.07-0.430.360.13-73-1014.615.1-0.4613.314.7-1.41
Aaron Wiggins6565-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-71015.214.60.5415.112.62.55
Kenrich Williams3131-0.12-0.380.260.14-95-1414.115.4-1.2713.314.7-1.47
Luguentz Dort6968-0.20-0.300.11-0.376-101614.815.4-0.5714.513.80.67
Jaylin Williams5658-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-5615.714.11.5914.613.80.79
Isaiah Joe5756-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.31-3-1-214.915.1-0.2614.214.3-0.08
Josh Giddey6058-0.560.06-0.63-0.45-40-414.815.2-0.4313.615.2-1.58
Chet Holmgren6260-0.890.39-1.28-0.57-117-1814.715.4-0.7014.014.7-0.77

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre Jr.77770.68-0.180.870.458-41214.214.4-0.2114.516.5-1.91
Kyle Lowry53550.60-0.100.710.4940414.414.20.2016.013.72.32
Nicolas Batum62610.440.060.380.3531214.214.4-0.1515.015.0-0.05
Tobias Harris71710.420.080.350.3913-214.314.20.0615.314.11.15
Joel Embiid59590.390.120.270.44-26-814.513.90.5315.813.81.96
Paul Reed39400.100.40-0.29-0.076-2813.914.5-0.5313.815.8-1.96
Buddy Hield42440.100.40-0.31-0.055-1614.014.4-0.3815.114.90.22
KJ Martin2425-0.090.59-0.680.03-48-1214.514.20.2614.215.2-1.08
Cameron Payne6363-0.140.64-0.79-0.11-15-614.314.10.2314.515.8-1.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.22,0.33,0.41,0.47,0.23,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.54,0.68,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 88, CLE 900.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.28,0.57,0.59,192.5%
PHI 76, HOU 770.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.19,0.54,0.85,0.72,192.1%
OKC 93, SAC 940.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.31,0.61,0.43,0.42,190.6%