inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 113 Excitement5.3 [741] MVPHaywood Highsmith (MIA): +20.0%
Miami Heat 92 Comeback1.6 [687] LVPThomas Bryant (MIA): -10.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.030.011362%0.131-0.03367%-0.01
Klay Thompson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.18-0.010.082070%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.011265%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Stephen Curry0.050,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.01-0.011557%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Draymond Green0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.06-0.00540%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Moses Moody0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.000.043112%0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Kevon Looney0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00558%0.0300.00250%-0.02
Brandin Podziemski0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00555%0.031-0.0210%-0.01
Lester Quinones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerome Robinson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gui Santos0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Paul-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.0220%-0.013-0.0700%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.160.03-0.007107%0.2000.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002152%0.071-0.03475%-0.02
Jamal Cain00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cole Swider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Orlando Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Alondes Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Nikola Jovic0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.011146%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021238%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.011050%-0.002-0.04475%-0.00
Delon Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01520%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.03-0.040.021842%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.027.315.426.32.630.2130.0
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +58.0%
GSW +1.1%
MIA -0.8%
MIA -9.2%
GSW +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMIANBAGSWMIANBA
this game14.716.314.5121.598.9113.9
season14.314.9116.2112.3
opponent14.814.4111.0114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.515.013.815.514.7
MIA18.313.816.217.216.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonathan Kuminga63610.55-0.050.60-0.072102114.415.3-0.9416.615.60.98
Klay Thompson62640.51-0.010.52-0.2225-42914.115.9-1.8116.017.0-1.01
Stephen Curry60600.470.030.45-0.081921715.113.91.2716.216.4-0.15
Andrew Wiggins59590.430.070.37-0.061741314.814.50.2716.715.51.17
Kevon Looney35330.330.170.150.12714-716.813.43.4116.216.3-0.18
Chris Paul43440.260.240.020.23120-1915.314.21.1215.217.2-2.02
Draymond Green55570.170.33-0.15-0.09912-313.616.3-2.7816.416.10.26
Brandin Podziemski41400.090.41-0.310.21-425-2915.414.11.2817.215.51.72
Lester Quinones330.000.50-0.50-0.15516-1110.714.8-4.1715.716.3-0.62
Jerome Robinson330.000.50-0.50-0.15516-1110.714.8-4.1715.716.3-0.62
Gui Santos330.000.50-0.50-0.15516-1110.714.8-4.1715.716.3-0.62
Gary Payton II2525-0.150.65-0.80-0.06-324-2714.914.60.2516.916.00.84
Moses Moody1313-0.170.67-0.83-0.11-223-2513.814.8-1.0814.216.6-2.37

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Cain330.00-0.500.500.15-5-161115.716.3-0.6210.714.8-4.17
Cole Swider330.00-0.500.500.15-5-161115.716.3-0.6210.714.8-4.17
Orlando Robinson330.00-0.500.500.15-5-161115.716.3-0.6210.714.8-4.17
Alondes Williams330.00-0.500.500.15-5-161115.716.3-0.6210.714.8-4.17
Delon Wright3231-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-15915.716.6-0.8415.014.50.50
Haywood Highsmith5858-0.11-0.390.27-0.08-1-201915.317.9-2.5515.413.51.90
Bam Adebayo7574-0.19-0.310.11-0.08-4-171316.316.10.2014.914.10.75
Caleb Martin6565-0.21-0.290.09-0.09-4-171315.817.4-1.6615.911.93.96
Patty Mills3636-0.21-0.290.090.03-8-13516.915.81.1013.415.5-2.14
Thomas Bryant1516-0.31-0.19-0.110.05-12-9-316.216.3-0.0814.714.70.06
Nikola Jovic5957-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-10-116.815.41.4014.814.50.37
Terry Rozier6262-0.41-0.09-0.310.03-15-6-916.715.41.3214.515.0-0.50
Jaime Jaquez Jr.5154-0.690.19-0.880.01-243-2716.815.61.2713.915.8-1.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.21,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 92, GSW 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,094.5%
NOH 97, CLE 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.5%
MEM 97, POR 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,094.4%