NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.2 [771]		MVP	Bonzi Wells (MEM): +22.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	88		Comeback	1.7 [353]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -18.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	19	74%	0.27	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.03	-0.04	18	62%	0.18	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	2	117%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	58%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	11	42%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	12	23%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	20	31%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	25.1	14.8	25.1	1.7	32.3	126.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +67.5%

POR -2.8%

POR -21.8%

MEM +6.4%

MEM +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.7	105.4	95.7	100.5
season	15.3	17.1		102.3	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.2	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.9	15.5	15.4	15.0	14.7
POR	16.4	18.1	17.4	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-5	19	14.3	15.7	-1.34	16.9	15.8	1.14
Bo Outlaw	55	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-1	11	14.6	14.8	-0.25	16.8	16.4	0.42
James Posey	65	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	-4	17	14.8	14.3	0.47	17.5	14.8	2.65
Pau Gasol	79	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	14.9	12.9	2.03	17.2	13.4	3.87
Jason Williams	67	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	7	-5	15.1	13.5	1.57	16.9	16.1	0.80
Earl Watson	25	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	2	5	13.5	15.1	-1.57	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Theron Smith	14	15	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	4	1	13.3	14.9	-1.62	12.9	17.4	-4.51
Lorenzen Wright	10	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	3	3	13.3	14.8	-1.53	17.8	16.5	1.34
Stromile Swift	37	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	17	-25	15.2	14.3	0.83	15.3	17.6	-2.35
Shane Battier	38	39	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.17	-13	22	-35	14.9	14.5	0.48	15.8	17.2	-1.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	18.0	16.6	1.37	15.0	14.7	0.34
Dale Davis	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-12	15	14.7	17.5	-2.79	14.8	14.6	0.16
Ruben Patterson	56	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-13	17	15.5	18.4	-2.87	15.1	14.1	1.02
Dan Dickau	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-7	5	14.7	17.7	-2.95	13.9	15.1	-1.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.25	2	-11	13	14.6	19.6	-5.00	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Damon Stoudamire	68	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	16.9	16.0	0.87	15.1	13.5	1.58
Zach Randolph	52	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	2	-13	18.6	14.0	4.58	15.0	14.2	0.84
Derek Anderson	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	4	-17	17.8	13.9	3.90	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Theo Ratliff	59	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	2	-13	17.7	14.8	2.89	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Darius Miles	46	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	6	-21	17.4	15.9	1.46	14.2	15.1	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 97, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
LAL 108, HOU 94	0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	94.2%
HOU 113, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	94.1%