NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	6.1 [601]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +15.8%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	1.3 [1108]		LVP	Anthony Randolph (GSW): -5.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	15	70%	0.20	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	13	61%	0.20	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Kyle Lowry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	63%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Carl Landry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.02	0.04	12	62%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.02	0.09	18	67%	0.11	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.03
Rob Kurz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	38%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	14	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Anthony Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	28.2	15.5	32.2	0.8	36.2	141.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +55.0%

GSW -7.9%

HOU +26.3%

GSW -24.2%

HOU +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.5	121.5	116.0	106.4
season	16.3	13.8		105.9	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.2		111.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.9	17.4	14.4	16.3	16.2
GSW	13.8	13.9	16.3	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-11	26	16.1	16.8	-0.77	15.0	13.1	1.92
Dikembe Mutombo	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-1	6	16.6	15.3	1.33	15.6	12.3	3.24
Aaron Brooks	54	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-3	10	16.8	15.4	1.40	15.0	14.0	0.94
Metta World Peace	64	66	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-6	16	16.7	15.2	1.48	15.7	12.0	3.63
Shane Battier	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	4	-4	16.2	16.3	-0.06	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Von Wafer	43	42	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.37	-7	11	-18	15.3	17.0	-1.76	12.7	16.1	-3.34
Kyle Lowry	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	7	-10	15.4	16.8	-1.40	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Brent Barry	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-1	6	17.2	16.1	1.18	15.5	14.5	1.05
Carl Landry	36	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	9	-14	15.4	16.8	-1.41	13.1	15.5	-2.43
Charles Hayes	12	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	11	-18	17.6	16.0	1.56	11.5	15.1	-3.62

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rob Kurz	18	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-2	0	16.4	14.2	2.23	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Andris Biedrins	64	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.19	2	-6	8	13.4	17.1	-3.74	15.1	18.3	-3.13
Anthony Randolph	62	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	5	-14	14.1	15.4	-1.29	16.4	15.8	0.68
Anthony Morrow	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-4	4	14.6	14.6	-0.02	16.4	13.6	2.78
Ronny Turiaf	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	15.8	13.2	2.51	17.1	15.2	1.93
Kelenna Azubuike	94	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.6	0.0	14.59	16.2	0.0	16.23
CJ Watson	93	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.7	2.0	12.72	16.2	0.0	16.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, GSW 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.8%
DEN 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0	94.8%
CLE 115, MIL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0	94.7%