NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	7.9 [295]		MVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): +26.7%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	4.3 [120]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -36.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.15	0.13	0.02	12	72%	0.29	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.06	0.01	7	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.02	15	56%	0.20	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.00
Sam Merrill	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Georges Niang	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	81%	0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Craig Porter Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37	-0.19	-0.17	0.01	18	32%	-0.17	5	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	10	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	18	47%	0.04	2	-0.16	4	25%	-0.05
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	14	42%	-0.05	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	30.4	14.7	26.2	2.5	33.5	137.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.0%

CLE +6.5%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +1.1%

CLE +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	14.1	14.5	114.9	109.6	113.9
season	14.8	13.8		113.0	120.0
opponent	14.7	14.7		117.4	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	14.8	16.8	19.8	16.6
IND	13.0	13.4	12.7	18.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	78	75	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-7	19	15.9	20.1	-4.20	13.9	14.8	-0.98
Darius Garland	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-5	15	16.6	16.4	0.18	14.3	13.4	0.96
Jarrett Allen	70	67	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.61	-3	8	-11	16.4	17.0	-0.57	13.9	14.4	-0.48
Georges Niang	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	0	5	15.8	18.7	-2.93	13.6	15.1	-1.47
Marcus Morris Sr.	37	39	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	-4	13	17.5	16.0	1.55	13.8	14.2	-0.42
Isaac Okoro	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	9	-13	17.6	14.7	2.89	15.6	11.3	4.30
Tristan Thompson	24	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.23	7	-2	9	17.0	16.4	0.57	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Craig Porter Jr.	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.03	-4	9	-13	13.6	17.2	-3.55	12.3	14.4	-2.11
Sam Merrill	47	48	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	12	-19	17.8	15.3	2.47	13.7	14.5	-0.81

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	35	36	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-13	21	14.7	13.7	1.04	19.4	14.8	4.56
Ben Sheppard	37	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-10	15	14.1	14.0	0.07	18.2	15.5	2.75
Jalen Smith	42	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.11	1	-6	7	12.8	15.1	-2.35	16.6	16.5	0.07
T.J. McConnell	47	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	12.5	15.6	-3.15	16.2	16.9	-0.65
Aaron Nesmith	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.0	14.4	-0.40	15.9	18.6	-2.75
Myles Turner	51	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	0	-5	15.4	12.5	2.86	16.5	16.6	-0.07
Tyrese Haliburton	59	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	2	-9	15.2	12.1	3.15	16.8	16.2	0.58
Andrew Nembhard	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	4	-13	14.4	13.4	0.95	16.3	17.1	-0.84
Pascal Siakam	68	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.29	-12	7	-19	13.4	15.8	-2.36	15.2	20.0	-4.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.14,0.09,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.28,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.29,0.31,0.16,0	92.0%
WAS 90, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.23,0.26,0	91.5%
IND 88, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.43,0.27,0	91.5%