NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	110		Excitement	5.4 [719]		MVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): +34.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	1.1 [841]		LVP	Wenyen Gabriel (MEM): -14.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vasilije Micic	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.24	0.11	0.00	10	114%	0.38	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.02	-0.03	21	64%	0.19	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	9	53%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Nick Richards	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00
Grant Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.01	0.09	11	67%	0.03	6	-0.13	5	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	10	15%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	17	68%	0.21	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	13	63%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Trey Jemison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	78%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	11	55%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
DeJon Jarreau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	13	19%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wenyen Gabriel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.2	23.7	15.4	31.2	1.6	31.2	125.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +37.5%

MEM -2.2%

MEM -3.7%

CHA +16.2%

CHA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MEM	NBA	CHA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.1	15.1	14.5	111.1	100.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		108.3	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.5		113.2	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.4	12.6	17.5	14.3	14.1
MEM	18.3	13.5	14.6	14.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vasilije Micic	57	56	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.03	21	-9	30	15.1	12.7	2.41	16.8	13.0	3.79
Miles Bridges	77	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	14.9	11.2	3.69	15.8	12.9	2.94
Aleksej Pokusevski	53	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	2	8	15.0	13.1	1.93	15.4	14.9	0.48
Grant Williams	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	0	12	13.0	15.6	-2.62	15.3	15.0	0.33
Davis Bertans	48	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	3	6	12.7	15.4	-2.62	13.9	16.3	-2.36
Brandon Miller	75	76	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	12	-12	14.1	14.1	0.02	14.9	15.9	-0.93
Nick Richards	63	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	12	-12	14.1	14.1	-0.02	14.2	16.8	-2.58
Tre Mann	64	65	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	16	-20	13.5	15.3	-1.83	14.7	16.0	-1.34

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scotty Pippen Jr.	59	59	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.08	4	-16	20	14.3	16.4	-2.11	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Luke Kennard	54	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-11	10	15.4	14.8	0.59	15.1	12.9	2.22
John Konchar	71	72	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-15	18	14.6	16.5	-1.90	14.6	12.7	1.87
Trey Jemison	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-10	8	15.6	14.4	1.21	14.7	13.0	1.77
Jordan Goodwin	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-2	-8	14.5	15.6	-1.08	12.3	15.4	-3.07
Wenyen Gabriel	34	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	14.4	15.6	-1.21	13.0	14.7	-1.77
GG Jackson	72	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	15.9	13.2	2.71	14.8	12.0	2.80
DeJon Jarreau	32	33	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	1	-14	16.3	14.6	1.78	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Jake LaRavia	62	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.06	-19	7	-26	15.3	14.9	0.36	13.3	15.6	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%
LAC 105, CLE 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
SAS 107, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%