inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 116 Excitement3.5 [1069] MVPTrey Murphy III (NOP): +17.4%
Atlanta Hawks 103 Comeback1.2 [1016] LVPDe'Andre Hunter (ATL): -8.1%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trey Murphy III0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.010.011874%0.212-0.042100%0.01
Zion Williamson0.100,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.160.020.071471%0.1010.001070%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.010.05491%0.0600.00367%-0.00
Naji Marshall0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.01570%0.0400.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.090.000.081465%0.052-0.04367%-0.01
Herbert Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.00-0.00570%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00267%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Jose Alvarado-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05475%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Ingram-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.03935%-0.012-0.03250%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.14-0.010.131966%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Trent Forrest0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Saddiq Bey0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.010.041150%-0.0200.00683%0.00
Bruno Fernando0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.010.000.03560%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Vit Krejci0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.01350%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.07-0.000.101369%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.002049%0.014-0.05771%0.01
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.000.021540%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.323.614.728.11.729.2121.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +54.0%
NOP +1.4%
ATL -5.6%
NOP +0.3%
ATL -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPATLNBANOPATLNBA
this game14.416.014.5120.8109.6113.9
season14.414.2114.8115.7
opponent14.314.7118.0111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP11.614.414.916.814.4
ATL17.216.315.714.516.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Larry Nance Jr.57550.470.030.430.0315-21715.113.31.8716.115.80.25
Trey Murphy III62600.400.100.31-0.0114-11513.615.7-2.0816.015.80.23
Zion Williamson73700.390.110.270.2167-114.713.31.3415.916.2-0.27
Naji Marshall37350.370.130.23-0.011301313.614.9-1.3015.416.3-0.91
Jose Alvarado36340.350.150.210.001211113.714.7-1.0315.516.2-0.73
Brandon Ingram62620.150.35-0.200.12112-1114.713.80.8816.115.70.43
CJ McCollum60600.150.35-0.210.12112-1114.713.71.0316.215.50.73
Herbert Jones59590.130.37-0.230.13013-1314.913.61.3016.315.40.91
Jonas Valanciunas34350.100.40-0.310.01310-713.215.0-1.8415.516.2-0.68

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Matthews98-0.04-0.460.430.05-3-10717.015.91.1411.014.7-3.67
Clint Capela5050-0.07-0.430.36-0.194-172115.616.4-0.8315.213.51.66
Bogdan Bogdanovic7074-0.18-0.320.14-0.304-172115.517.2-1.7214.713.41.30
Vit Krejci4444-0.20-0.300.100.03-8-5-316.315.60.7014.414.30.04
Trent Forrest1314-0.20-0.300.090.03-8-5-318.815.53.2513.614.5-0.93
Dejounte Murray8182-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-5-8315.518.8-3.2514.513.60.93
Garrison Mathews3737-0.33-0.17-0.150.20-185-2316.515.60.9415.014.01.03
Saddiq Bey5355-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-6-7116.415.40.9813.715.3-1.66
De'Andre Hunter6970-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.15-8-5-315.417.5-2.1114.613.61.03
Bruno Fernando4446-0.43-0.07-0.360.07-174-2116.415.60.8313.515.2-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 102, LAL 870.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
OKC 100, NOH 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
SAS 100, UTA 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%