NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	124		Excitement	7.9 [296]		MVP	Damian Lillard (MIL): +39.0%
LA Clippers	117		Comeback	1.8 [844]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -20.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.39	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39	0.25	0.20	0.07	19	78%	0.44	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	11	74%	0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	5	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.07	0.02	24	54%	0.23	3	-0.13	15	67%	-0.04
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	70%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	14	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.06	-0.04	11	82%	0.20	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	21	54%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	10	73%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	12	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.04	0.06	11	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	16	38%	-0.05	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	28.3	15.4	30.5	2.4	32.6	139.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.4%

MIL +8.4%

LAC -7.6%

MIL +0.1%

MIL +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	15.2	14.5	126.5	119.4	113.9
season	14.3	14.9		117.0	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.2	114.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	14.1	13.2	14.4	14.1
LAC	14.0	16.5	15.6	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	80	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.33	19	-12	31	13.5	16.6	-3.15	15.7	13.4	2.27
Malik Beasley	79	79	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.26	20	-13	33	14.0	14.9	-0.93	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Pat Connaughton	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	8	-9	14.4	13.9	0.51	15.2	15.3	-0.19
Damian Lillard	80	78	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	7	-7	14.3	13.6	0.72	14.6	17.8	-3.27
Jae Crowder	41	41	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	2	3	14.0	14.3	-0.29	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Brook Lopez	64	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	12	-17	15.2	12.1	3.15	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Danilo Gallinari	11	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	2	3	13.6	14.2	-0.57	18.8	14.7	4.06
Bobby Portis	52	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	14.3	14.0	0.31	15.6	14.8	0.75
Patrick Beverley	32	34	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.05	-6	13	-19	13.4	14.5	-1.09	15.6	15.1	0.53

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	28	31	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.07	17	-24	41	13.6	15.9	-2.29	15.5	13.5	1.91
Bones Hyland	43	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-9	11	15.7	14.9	0.85	13.5	14.6	-1.04
Brandon Boston Jr.	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-9	11	16.8	14.4	2.46	14.5	14.0	0.55
Mason Plumlee	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-4	1	14.2	15.4	-1.23	13.6	14.2	-0.64
P.J. Tucker	51	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	2	-11	17.0	13.4	3.62	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Norman Powell	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-9	11	14.9	15.9	-1.07	14.2	13.9	0.31
Amir Coffey	63	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	14.3	17.0	-2.69	14.2	14.0	0.22
Terance Mann	63	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	2	-11	14.4	16.8	-2.46	14.0	14.5	-0.55
James Harden	76	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	6	-19	14.5	17.8	-3.32	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Ivica Zubac	52	50	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	12	-31	17.0	13.2	3.82	14.0	14.2	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.37,0.53,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.12,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.13,0.02,0,0	92.5%
ORL 99, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.19,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.04,0	92.2%
CHH 108, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.16,0	91.8%