NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	10.7 [49]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +67.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	3.3 [379]		LVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): -49.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0.68	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68	0.25	0.41	-0.02	18	77%	0.72	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.05	0.03	-0.10	7	44%	0.07	2	0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jordan McLaughlin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
T.J. Warren	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	11	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	11	39%	-0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	-0.49	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.33,-0.33,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49,-0.49	-0.22	-0.29	-0.02	27	32%	-0.37	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64	0.64	0.10	0.46	-0.08	19	56%	0.66	1	-0.02	21	71%	0.07
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	26	58%	0.19	6	-0.17	7	86%	0.07
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	15	43%	-0.11	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	27.4	15.7	34.1	3.4	39.4	2.6	18.2	168.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -1.5%

CLE +39.5%

MIN -3.8%

MIN -11.3%

CLE +27.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	16.0	14.5	102.0	110.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.7		114.7	112.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		111.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	15.1	14.0	13.2	19.1	16.4	15.2
CLE	12.6	16.0	15.6	19.8	18.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Warren	24	25	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.12	15	-24	39	12.5	16.1	-3.62	15.7	16.0	-0.31
Jordan McLaughlin	24	24	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-13	17	13.7	15.7	-2.04	13.6	16.7	-3.04
Rudy Gobert	70	69	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-16	23	15.6	14.3	1.33	16.6	14.6	1.94
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	50	47	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-7	5	14.8	15.6	-0.80	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Naz Reid	63	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	0	-9	14.8	15.9	-1.17	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Anthony Edwards	83	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.08	-20	11	-31	15.3	14.9	0.41	15.5	17.8	-2.34
Mike Conley	60	62	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	1	-11	15.5	14.8	0.79	16.4	15.2	1.24
Jaden McDaniels	72	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	6	-21	15.9	13.7	2.16	16.5	14.6	1.96
Kyle Anderson	64	66	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.35	-15	6	-21	16.0	13.9	2.16	16.3	15.4	0.91

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	69	70	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.20	26	-17	43	15.4	17.2	-1.82	15.6	14.4	1.24
Jarrett Allen	88	89	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.15	21	-12	33	16.0	15.9	0.11	15.7	12.1	3.61
Caris LeVert	67	66	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-9	27	16.0	15.9	0.01	14.7	16.1	-1.37
Darius Garland	80	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-10	29	16.3	14.6	1.73	15.9	12.5	3.38
Isaac Okoro	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-4	17	15.6	17.5	-1.99	15.4	14.5	0.88
Sam Merrill	36	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.14	-6	15	-21	16.2	15.8	0.46	15.1	15.3	-0.18
Craig Porter Jr.	7	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	18	-27	19.4	15.7	3.73	12.7	15.4	-2.72
Damian Jones	14	13	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	21	-33	15.9	16.0	-0.11	12.1	15.7	-3.61
Dean Wade	67	65	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	0.26	-25	34	-59	16.1	15.7	0.32	14.6	16.4	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 109, NYK 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.96,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.95,1	90.8%
ORL 102, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.69,0.82,1	90.1%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	90.0%