NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	9.0 [147]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +71.3%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.7 [506]		LVP	Naz Reid (MIN): -12.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.71	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.55,0.71	0.20	0.49	-0.02	35	56%	0.71	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Rudy Gobert	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.12	-0.00	11	67%	0.25	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	28%	0.04	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	15	43%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	15	68%	0.28	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.07
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	5	87%	0.14	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	20	56%	0.20	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	10	35%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	57%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	33.5	15.0	26.9	2.7	34.2	142.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +4.2%

MIN +7.3%

MIN +26.3%

MIN +9.6%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	13.1	14.5	114.1	112.1	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		114.7	120.1
opponent	14.6	14.6		117.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	16.5	16.0	17.1	16.0
IND	13.2	13.5	12.3	13.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden McDaniels	55	56	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.42	7	-5	12	16.1	15.9	0.23	14.0	11.9	2.11
Rudy Gobert	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-4	10	16.4	14.1	2.30	13.5	11.3	2.27
Anthony Edwards	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	0	2	16.0	16.1	-0.14	12.9	13.8	-0.85
Kyle Anderson	55	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	-6	14	15.9	16.1	-0.14	13.7	12.3	1.37
Mike Conley	65	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	2	-2	16.0	15.9	0.07	12.7	13.7	-1.02
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.34	-4	6	-10	15.3	16.9	-1.60	13.3	12.8	0.51
T.J. Warren	33	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	17.0	15.5	1.47	12.6	13.3	-0.74
Monte Morris	13	14	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	2	-2	14.2	16.3	-2.11	11.6	13.4	-1.78
Naz Reid	56	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	14	-26	15.9	16.1	-0.22	12.0	14.4	-2.34

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	13	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	13.7	13.0	0.68	16.9	15.8	1.07
Jarace Walker	32	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	0	-2	13.6	12.9	0.68	16.2	15.9	0.29
Ben Sheppard	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	5	-12	12.5	13.5	-0.93	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Jalen Smith	45	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	1	-4	12.3	13.7	-1.41	15.2	16.6	-1.41
T.J. McConnell	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	4	-10	13.5	13.0	0.56	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Obi Toppin	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	8	-18	12.5	13.4	-0.88	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Andrew Nembhard	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.48	8	-10	18	13.4	12.7	0.72	16.1	15.8	0.37
Myles Turner	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.28	1	-3	4	13.8	12.6	1.12	16.5	15.6	0.93
Pascal Siakam	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.51	8	-10	18	13.4	12.5	0.88	16.5	15.0	1.51
Aaron Nesmith	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-4	6	12.9	13.4	-0.44	16.2	15.6	0.60
Tyrese Haliburton	78	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-1	0	13.0	13.6	-0.60	16.0	16.1	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.46,0.55,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.31,0.27,0	90.6%
SAC 92, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,0	90.3%
POR 82, LAC 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.2%