NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	112		Excitement	7.0 [437]		MVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): +37.6%
Detroit Pistons	118		Comeback	2.3 [368]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): -8.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37	0.22	0.15	-0.01	17	84%	0.49	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	8	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Lonnie Walker IV	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.03	-0.03	18	58%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Noah Clowney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Wilson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38	0.38	0.21	0.14	-0.03	17	81%	0.48	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	22	60%	0.26	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
James Wiseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.01	6	71%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	12	58%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	23.2	15.4	25.2	2.7	39.6	133.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +20.8%

DET +8.7%

DET +35.7%

BKN -19.0%

DET +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	14.5	110.9	113.5	113.9
season	14.8	14.2		111.9	108.4
opponent	14.3	14.5		117.6	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.8	13.6	17.2	12.1	14.5
DET	14.2	14.7	12.8	12.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	78	80	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-13	20	14.3	15.5	-1.27	13.9	12.3	1.66
Keita Bates-Diop	8	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	0	-6	17.6	14.3	3.35	12.9	13.6	-0.74
Nic Claxton	75	76	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-9	12	13.8	16.7	-2.94	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Dennis Smith Jr.	51	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	14.8	14.3	0.56	12.6	14.5	-1.89
Noah Clowney	18	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	16.3	14.2	2.18	14.5	13.4	1.17
Trendon Watford	25	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	12.4	15.2	-2.85	12.8	13.8	-1.02
Lonnie Walker IV	61	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-4	2	14.3	14.9	-0.67	14.2	12.7	1.44
Dennis Schroder	81	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	14.5	14.8	-0.32	14.0	11.8	2.22
Mikal Bridges	89	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.27	-6	0	-6	15.0	11.2	3.74	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Jalen Wilson	19	20	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.02	-17	11	-28	16.8	14.0	2.83	12.0	13.9	-1.94

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	82	78	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.14	19	-13	32	13.1	15.5	-2.39	15.4	11.5	3.91
Ausar Thompson	90	89	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	2	2	13.7	12.9	0.82	15.2	10.0	5.16
Jalen Duren	64	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-3	12	13.5	13.6	-0.05	15.0	13.8	1.15
Jaden Ivey	84	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-3	12	13.5	13.9	-0.47	15.0	12.8	2.11
Isaiah Stewart	68	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	-2	10	13.2	14.2	-0.92	15.7	12.5	3.18
Evan Fournier	30	29	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	5	-4	13.5	13.6	-0.05	12.8	15.2	-2.46
Simone Fontecchio	53	51	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.24	-1	7	-8	13.4	13.7	-0.27	13.1	16.0	-2.92
James Wiseman	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	12	-18	14.4	13.3	1.14	12.7	15.2	-2.56
Malachi Flynn	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	8	-10	14.6	13.5	1.14	12.4	14.8	-2.38
Marcus Sasser	13	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	17	-28	16.5	13.2	3.31	10.1	15.3	-5.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	91.6%
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	91.6%
MIL 87, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.99,1	91.4%