NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	8.3 [231]		MVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): +33.3%
Orlando Magic	115		Comeback	1.6 [832]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): -19.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taylor Hendricks	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	6	71%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luka Samanic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	62%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Collins	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.01	10	79%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.03
Lauri Markkanen	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.06	0.01	15	56%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	7	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Keyonte George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.03	12	61%	0.09	2	-0.10	7	100%	0.07
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	10	25%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.07	0.27	0.01	8	83%	0.42	3	-0.08	2	50%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.00	4	50%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Gary Harris	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	8	81%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	16	67%	0.35	6	-0.27	11	73%	0.02
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	82%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	6	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	11	58%	0.04	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	26.3	14.7	31.2	2.5	33.2	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +50.5%

UTA -7.0%

ORL +21.7%

UTA -19.2%

ORL +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.1	14.5	110.3	117.3	113.9
season	14.7	15.1		113.7	111.8
opponent	14.4	13.9		109.4	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	13.3	15.4	14.8	14.5
ORL	14.9	15.0	15.9	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taylor Hendricks	56	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-4	0	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.6	15.7	-1.06
Kris Dunn	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	14.0	14.8	-0.85	15.1	15.1	0.03
Luka Samanic	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	13.7	14.7	-1.06	15.4	15.0	0.46
Lauri Markkanen	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	14.4	14.6	-0.22	15.2	14.7	0.54
Brice Sensabaugh	28	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	0	-8	14.5	14.4	0.10	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Collin Sexton	60	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	14.5	14.4	0.14	15.0	15.3	-0.32
John Collins	71	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	14.7	13.7	1.05	15.2	14.9	0.30
Keyonte George	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-4	0	14.5	14.4	0.17	15.0	15.1	-0.07
Jordan Clarkson	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	14.2	15.2	-0.99	15.2	14.7	0.46

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	45	44	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-1	10	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.1	13.9	1.15
Paolo Banchero	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	1	6	14.8	15.8	-0.92	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Jalen Suggs	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.27	5	3	2	14.9	15.3	-0.31	14.2	14.8	-0.56
Markelle Fultz	36	36	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	0	8	15.4	14.9	0.46	14.9	14.2	0.68
Franz Wagner	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	5	-2	15.0	15.3	-0.29	14.6	14.1	0.55
Cole Anthony	48	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	0	8	15.0	15.1	-0.10	14.8	14.1	0.73
Joe Ingles	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	5	-2	15.1	15.1	-0.00	14.8	14.3	0.52
Gary Harris	51	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	9	-10	15.0	15.2	-0.23	13.9	15.0	-1.04
Caleb Houstan	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.2	14.7	1.47	14.8	14.3	0.47
Moritz Wagner	53	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	9	-10	15.7	14.4	1.28	13.9	15.1	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.7,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	92.9%
TOR 106, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.65,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.78,0.96,1	91.7%
LAC 75, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	91.6%