NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	6.2 [556]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +20.9%
LA Clippers	112		Comeback	115.3 [11]		LVP	Taurean Prince (LAL): -6.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21	0.23	0.04	0.06	21	79%	0.27	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	10	75%	0.19	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	15	57%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.04	0.02	15	57%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Austin Reaves	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	0.03	0.01	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.04	-0.01	19	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.03	9	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.12	-0.02	16	61%	0.15	4	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	0.1	27.4	14.8	25.7	3.0	31.3	131.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.7%

LAC -2.8%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +20.2%

LAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.5	116.0	114.3	113.9
season	14.1	14.9		114.4	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.2	114.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.2	13.6	17.1	14.7
LAC	13.8	13.6	14.7	15.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	15.1	13.5	1.58	15.1	12.2	2.88
Rui Hachimura	61	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	3	-2	14.9	14.4	0.47	14.4	14.3	0.12
Austin Reaves	74	71	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.59	-5	9	-14	15.3	12.9	2.40	14.1	15.1	-1.00
D'Angelo Russell	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-4	12	15.1	13.8	1.28	14.4	14.2	0.19
Anthony Davis	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.54	-4	8	-12	14.9	14.1	0.84	14.2	15.0	-0.77
Cam Reddish	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	-1	6	14.0	15.2	-1.12	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Jaxson Hayes	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.16	6	-2	8	13.9	14.9	-1.02	15.5	14.1	1.42
Taurean Prince	37	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	1	2	13.6	15.4	-1.80	13.9	14.7	-0.75
Max Christie	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	0.0	14.8	-14.85	5.0	14.5	-9.48
Spencer Dinwiddie	41	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.05	-3	7	-10	14.0	15.2	-1.10	14.3	14.5	-0.19

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	38	40	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-7	10	13.1	15.2	-2.18	13.1	15.7	-2.58
P.J. Tucker	26	26	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.18	-3	-1	-2	13.2	14.8	-1.68	13.5	15.1	-1.67
Amir Coffey	52	55	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.19	9	-13	22	14.4	14.4	0.03	13.5	16.2	-2.77
Mason Plumlee	35	36	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.08	-1	-3	2	13.9	14.7	-0.74	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Daniel Theis	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.3	12.9	2.39	15.7	13.3	2.39
Terance Mann	59	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	-3	2	15.0	13.5	1.45	15.9	12.8	3.04
Kawhi Leonard	79	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	-2	0	14.3	14.7	-0.37	14.8	14.4	0.41
James Harden	80	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.26	-12	8	-20	14.8	12.4	2.38	14.9	13.9	0.99
Norman Powell	62	61	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	9	-22	14.0	15.0	-0.92	15.1	14.1	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.55,0.29,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.24,0.17,0	92.0%
MIA 95, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.22,0.16,0	91.9%
HOU 132, ATL 126	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.69,0.34,0.23,0.03,0	91.3%