inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 119 Excitement6.2 [552] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): +11.8%
Golden State Warriors 103 Comeback5.3 [167] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -15.9%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.030.01968%0.1200.001100%0.00
Jamal Murray0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.10-0.010.011671%0.214-0.126100%0.03
Nikola Jokic0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.12-0.000.032462%0.142-0.054100%0.02
Zeke Nnaji0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.00360%0.0700.004100%0.03
Christian Braun0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00750%0.0400.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.010.031068%0.112-0.08560%-0.03
Reggie Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.020.00275%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.03-0.001137%0.0100.002100%0.02
Justin Holiday0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Braxton Key0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jay Huff0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Peyton Watson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00430%-0.051-0.0220%-0.05

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021064%0.0800.002100%0.01
Lester Quinones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.03475%0.111-0.0400%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.11-0.040.001568%0.132-0.064100%0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01-0.01460%0.051-0.0220%-0.06
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.010.071058%0.041-0.041369%-0.01
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.01-0.051943%0.033-0.03887%0.01
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Spencer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Usman Garuba00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00450%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.030.00633%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.07-0.00658%0.016-0.1700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.63.427.616.431.23.035.2141.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +24.6%
DEN +4.8%
DEN +1.2%
DEN +17.6%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game15.114.014.5120.2104.0113.9
season15.014.3116.4116.2
opponent14.414.6114.1111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.315.014.915.015.1
GSW13.514.413.315.014.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray78760.58-0.080.660.0518-22014.915.7-0.7814.213.70.51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope74730.56-0.060.610.0019-32214.616.5-1.9113.914.5-0.57
Nikola Jokic79760.56-0.060.61-0.0320-42414.517.0-2.5113.814.8-1.02
Aaron Gordon68670.53-0.030.56-0.0921-52614.815.6-0.8214.014.1-0.08
Michael Porter Jr.62660.300.200.110.0788016.013.52.5014.413.21.20
Zeke Nnaji24260.160.34-0.180.22-218-2015.315.00.3714.713.80.94
Christian Braun44420.090.41-0.320.12-117-1814.515.5-1.0713.214.7-1.52
Justin Holiday220.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1221.514.96.5822.013.98.12
Braxton Key220.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1221.514.96.5822.013.98.12
Julian Strawther220.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1221.514.96.5822.013.98.12
Jalen Pickett220.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1221.514.96.5822.013.98.12
Jay Huff220.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1221.514.96.5822.013.98.12
Reggie Jackson3334-0.030.53-0.570.03-218-2014.415.4-0.9813.014.6-1.58
Peyton Watson2325-0.250.75-1.000.07-1127-3816.114.71.4112.814.4-1.61

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton II29290.17-0.670.84-0.047-233012.314.7-2.4016.114.61.44
Dario Saric19180.09-0.590.67-0.096-222814.813.90.9316.614.71.84
Lester Quinones28280.07-0.570.630.10-1-151413.214.4-1.1014.615.2-0.62
Kevon Looney21200.06-0.560.62-0.033-192212.414.5-2.0514.615.2-0.56
Moses Moody22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-141222.013.98.1221.514.96.58
Pat Spencer22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-141222.013.98.1221.514.96.58
Usman Garuba22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-141222.013.98.1221.514.96.58
Klay Thompson6666-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-182013.115.9-2.8515.015.2-0.24
Trayce Jackson-Davis2323-0.08-0.420.33-0.111-171816.213.42.8416.114.71.35
Brandin Podziemski6462-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.10-13-3-1014.413.31.0814.416.1-1.69
Jonathan Kuminga5252-0.48-0.02-0.470.10-204-2414.213.90.2814.915.2-0.23
Andrew Wiggins6364-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.07-14-2-1214.613.11.4615.015.1-0.10
Stephen Curry6768-0.620.12-0.750.02-226-2813.914.4-0.5914.815.5-0.68
Draymond Green5759-0.650.15-0.790.03-237-3014.114.00.1514.515.8-1.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.3,0.19,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 119, ATL 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.43,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,092.7%
IND 102, NJN 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.04,092.3%
WAS 111, MIL 1000.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0,092.3%