NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	104		Excitement	8.1 [265]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +15.1%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	11.5 [322]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DAL): -17.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richaun Holmes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	19	53%	0.08	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Delon Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.01	0.03	-0.07	-0.04	17	62%	0.17	5	-0.17	6	33%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bilal Coulibaly	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.02	-0.00	10	18%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	12	12%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	11	23%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.14	0.01	16	60%	0.28	5	-0.13	11	73%	-0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	8	68%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.03	0.10	-0.02	5	45%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	55%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	19	59%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	13	19%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.0	14.7	28.2	1.8	36.3	135.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.6%

DAL +6.8%

WAS -4.1%

WAS -1.3%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	12.7	14.5	95.4	100.9	113.9
season	13.7	14.3		109.8	115.6
opponent	14.6	14.1		113.6	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.5	12.2	15.5	14.0	13.5
DAL	11.9	13.0	13.9	12.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	63	63	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-12	16	12.4	14.8	-2.40	12.5	13.1	-0.62
Delon Wright	11	12	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-12	16	12.5	13.6	-1.02	13.2	12.7	0.49
Landry Shamet	33	33	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-11	14	12.9	13.7	-0.79	13.1	12.6	0.51
Richaun Holmes	28	28	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-10	12	13.7	13.4	0.30	14.0	12.3	1.75
Marvin Bagley III	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-5	2	13.8	13.0	0.77	12.1	13.6	-1.46
Deni Avdija	77	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-9	10	12.9	14.7	-1.78	13.0	12.1	0.88
Corey Kispert	52	54	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.20	-10	2	-12	14.0	13.0	0.96	13.3	12.2	1.03
Bilal Coulibaly	65	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.27	-13	5	-18	14.2	12.4	1.84	13.4	11.7	1.71
Tyus Jones	77	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.34	-14	6	-20	13.8	12.7	1.14	12.1	14.2	-2.11
Kyle Kuzma	74	76	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.34	-14	6	-20	13.5	13.3	0.25	12.2	13.9	-1.77

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	87	86	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.33	19	-11	30	12.2	14.5	-2.26	13.6	13.0	0.58
Maxi Kleber	51	51	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.33	14	-6	20	12.7	12.7	-0.04	14.3	12.7	1.64
P.J. Washington	86	83	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	0	8	12.6	13.3	-0.76	12.9	15.3	-2.38
Jaden Hardy	28	27	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	12.7	12.7	-0.07	16.3	12.5	3.82
Kyrie Irving	99	98	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	13.0	10.5	2.50	13.2	15.5	-2.32
Josh Green	70	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	5	-2	12.4	13.3	-0.97	12.5	15.2	-2.64
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	12.8	-12.85	0.0	13.5	-13.46
Brandon Williams	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	12.8	-12.85	0.0	13.5	-13.46
A.J. Lawson	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	12.8	-12.85	0.0	13.5	-13.46
Derrick Jones Jr.	25	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	14	-20	14.4	12.3	2.10	13.4	13.5	-0.08
Daniel Gafford	60	58	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	14	-20	12.7	12.7	0.04	12.7	14.3	-1.64
Tim Hardaway Jr.	46	47	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.13	-4	12	-16	13.9	11.9	2.02	14.5	12.7	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.3,0.41,0.47,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.67,0.74,0.84,0.97,0.95,1	92.1%
WAS 88, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	91.4%
TOR 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1	91.3%