NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	8.9 [159]		MVP	Aaron Holiday (HOU): +61.4%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.7 [613]		LVP	Alec Burks (NYK): -13.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	0.01	11	77%	0.25	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0.15	-0.06	0.20	-0.01	25	47%	0.30	5	-0.15	8	62%	-0.03
Miles McBride	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	21	55%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jericho Sims	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Alec Burks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	8	28%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.61	0.61	0.08	0.53	-0.01	14	56%	0.61	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.20	0.02	15	72%	0.38	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	13	59%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Nate Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.06
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.00	10	64%	0.10	3	-0.15	8	75%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	15	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	0.6	31.9	14.6	30.3	2.4	29.8	136.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -10.5%

HOU +56.1%

NYK -1.0%

HOU +2.9%

HOU +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	HOU	NBA	NYK	HOU	NBA
this game	16.8	14.2	14.5	110.8	112.9	113.9
season	15.6	14.2		116.8	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.2	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	17.2	17.8	14.8	16.8
HOU	16.1	12.8	12.2	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	54	55	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-9	16	17.8	15.4	2.43	13.9	14.6	-0.73
Taj Gibson	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	14.7	17.1	-2.35	13.5	14.3	-0.81
Donte DiVincenzo	77	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-4	6	17.1	15.2	1.87	14.1	14.3	-0.16
Precious Achiuwa	75	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-5	8	16.5	18.1	-1.56	14.4	13.1	1.32
Alec Burks	34	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	1	-4	15.4	17.6	-2.23	15.0	13.8	1.21
Bojan Bogdanovic	45	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	11	-24	17.0	16.6	0.31	14.3	14.1	0.23
Josh Hart	81	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	16.8	16.9	-0.14	14.4	12.8	1.54
Jalen Brunson	76	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	17.3	14.6	2.70	13.9	15.3	-1.37
Miles McBride	12	11	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	6	-14	14.3	17.2	-2.83	12.4	14.4	-2.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Holiday	51	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-6	14	14.0	14.4	-0.47	16.7	16.9	-0.24
Nate Williams	15	16	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-13	28	13.3	14.3	-1.00	18.7	16.4	2.36
Jeff Green	31	30	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-9	20	13.2	14.7	-1.52	17.3	16.5	0.79
Amen Thompson	76	75	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.38	-5	7	-12	14.3	13.8	0.50	16.9	16.4	0.50
Jabari Smith Jr.	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	4	-6	14.0	15.1	-1.16	16.1	20.0	-3.92
Alperen Sengun	69	69	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.35	-6	8	-14	14.2	14.2	0.01	16.5	17.6	-1.12
Jalen Green	56	57	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.32	-6	8	-14	14.6	13.6	1.00	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Jae'Sean Tate	23	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-4	10	13.0	14.5	-1.50	19.0	16.1	2.99
Dillon Brooks	68	68	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	13	-24	15.2	11.5	3.68	16.5	17.7	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.67,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.52,0.89,1,1	93.1%
CLE 87, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.75,0.84,0.89,1,1	92.4%
CHA 93, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1	91.9%