NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	5.1 [757]		MVP	RJ Barrett (TOR): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	1.4 [755]		LVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): -12.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.12	0.05	0.13	0.06	13	67%	0.21	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Cam Whitmore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	77%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.04	2	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Green	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	11	30%	-0.04	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	13	46%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	5	80%	0.02	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	12	72%	0.25	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.04
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	19	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jontay Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	11	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	16	35%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	41%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	-0.00
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.2	15.2	27.5	2.5	37.3	138.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +8.6%

TOR +12.0%

TOR +0.5%

TOR +25.4%

TOR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	TOR	NBA	HOU	TOR	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	14.5	106.1	111.5	113.9
season	14.2	14.0		113.2	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.6		117.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.7	13.3	15.9	11.9	13.9
TOR	13.0	15.0	16.1	19.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	31	29	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-13	23	11.9	14.9	-3.01	15.1	16.1	-0.92
Jeff Green	55	55	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.52	18	-21	39	12.3	16.0	-3.61	16.7	14.6	2.04
Reggie Bullock Jr.	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-10	17	12.9	14.2	-1.37	18.0	15.1	2.97
Aaron Holiday	63	60	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.50	15	-18	33	12.9	15.7	-2.82	16.2	15.1	1.12
Cam Whitmore	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-2	1	13.5	14.2	-0.75	14.9	16.3	-1.34
Jabari Smith Jr.	70	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-5	7	13.8	14.3	-0.50	15.4	16.8	-1.47
Alperen Sengun	43	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.11	-21	18	-39	16.0	12.3	3.61	14.6	16.7	-2.04
Dillon Brooks	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.19	-11	8	-19	14.6	12.8	1.75	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Amen Thompson	62	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	8	-19	14.5	12.9	1.56	16.8	13.8	2.95
Jalen Green	46	44	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.12	-23	20	-43	16.2	12.0	4.19	14.4	17.0	-2.58

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	75	77	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.17	21	-18	39	15.5	16.9	-1.44	14.7	11.2	3.42
Gary Trent Jr.	67	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-14	31	15.6	16.1	-0.51	14.6	12.5	2.16
Jakob Poeltl	73	75	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-11	25	15.4	17.1	-1.77	14.4	12.4	2.01
RJ Barrett	70	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-5	13	15.8	15.8	0.02	14.6	12.0	2.61
Scottie Barnes	71	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	5	-7	16.2	14.5	1.76	13.2	16.0	-2.73
Gradey Dick	39	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	10	-17	15.7	15.8	-0.11	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Bruce Brown	46	46	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.28	-13	16	-29	16.2	15.4	0.84	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Jontay Porter	23	23	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.18	-11	14	-25	17.1	15.4	1.77	12.4	14.4	-2.01
Jordan Nwora	16	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.11	-12	15	-27	14.7	16.0	-1.24	10.9	14.6	-3.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, POR 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 63, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 81, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%