inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 131 Excitement4.0 [996] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +33.4%
Indiana Pacers 109 Comeback1.0 [441] LVPTyrese Haliburton (IND): -12.9%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.330,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.380.030.082291%0.362-0.03250%-0.00
Dario Saric0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.00-0.02685%0.112-0.021100%0.00
Andrew Wiggins0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.021055%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gui Santos0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.090.000.08872%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Kevon Looney0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.001656%0.053-0.0400%0.00
Draymond Green0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.09850%0.065-0.0600%0.00
Jerome Robinson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02375%0.0010.002100%0.00
Lester Quinones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.01737%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Brandin Podziemski-0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.02941%0.002-0.04475%0.01
Moses Moody-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.000.06383%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.160.010.026117%0.1400.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.011162%0.082-0.03450%-0.00
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.021250%0.061-0.02650%-0.03
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.02573%0.031-0.001100%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03765%0.052-0.04667%-0.01
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.04743%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Isaiah Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.04570%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.031137%-0.031-0.00887%0.00
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.010.07862%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.030.01736%-0.043-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.72.327.615.424.52.328.6127.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +35.5%
IND -4.1%
GSW +15.8%
IND -0.0%
GSW +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWINDNBAGSWINDNBA
this game15.713.114.5131.0109.0113.9
season14.313.8116.2120.0
opponent14.714.4117.4114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.517.215.216.015.7
IND13.212.813.013.413.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandin Podziemski70700.480.020.46-0.1923-12416.014.91.0813.013.4-0.41
Jonathan Kuminga68680.470.030.43-0.122021815.715.60.1413.113.10.07
Stephen Curry65670.420.080.350.04139415.116.7-1.6212.314.7-2.37
Draymond Green60610.400.100.310.02139415.216.4-1.1812.114.6-2.51
Andrew Wiggins57570.340.160.180.07913-415.516.0-0.4612.114.5-2.38
Dario Saric36350.270.230.05-0.081210215.915.60.2714.312.41.90
Lester Quinones54520.130.37-0.23-0.221210215.915.40.5114.311.82.54
Moses Moody29290.060.44-0.37-0.17814-614.416.2-1.7513.213.10.14
Gui Santos41400.050.45-0.40-0.10517-1217.314.62.6814.212.31.90
Jerome Robinson340.000.50-0.500.03-123-2412.715.8-3.1215.513.02.49
Trayce Jackson-Davis880.000.50-0.50-0.12418-1413.215.9-2.6513.913.00.83
Kevon Looney99-0.140.64-0.770.10-830-3819.215.33.8813.913.00.86

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Smith27270.02-0.520.55-0.063-252813.313.10.2016.115.50.58
Obi Toppin3839-0.02-0.480.460.21-8-14614.812.12.7116.415.31.10
Ben Sheppard4041-0.04-0.460.420.28-11-11014.212.31.9015.116.1-0.96
Isaiah Jackson2121-0.07-0.430.350.28-12-10-214.712.72.0313.716.2-2.56
T.J. McConnell4244-0.10-0.400.300.28-13-9-414.711.92.7716.115.40.68
Bennedict Mathurin4647-0.12-0.380.260.26-13-9-414.412.02.3315.415.9-0.54
Tyrese Haliburton5856-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-9-13411.914.7-2.7715.416.1-0.68
Aaron Nesmith5856-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.14-9-13411.914.7-2.7715.416.1-0.68
Andrew Nembhard5555-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.15-9-13412.214.2-1.9816.614.61.94
Myles Turner5150-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-13-9-412.214.1-1.8715.615.8-0.14
Pascal Siakam6464-0.540.04-0.57-0.07-16-6-1012.514.3-1.8215.915.30.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, DET 720.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
ORL 98, NYK 770.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
BOS 114, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%