NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	3.3 [1113]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): +9.8%
New York Knicks	77		Comeback	1.0 [334]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -9.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.02	0.05	16	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	61%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.02
Monty Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Darrell Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	37%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.03	17	61%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	47%	0.00	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	39%	-0.01	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	27.3	15.3	30.6	2.5	27.6	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.8%

ORL +3.9%

ORL +3.3%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.2	108.9	83.7	101.7
season	13.6	16.1		100.4	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		98.8	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.1	13.9	15.5	17.4	15.8
NYK	16.6	18.0	17.2	11.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	1	19	14.6	17.5	-2.91	18.1	12.5	5.60
Bo Outlaw	62	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	12	-3	15.3	16.7	-1.43	16.6	14.2	2.34
Darrell Armstrong	58	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.30	22	-1	23	15.7	15.9	-0.17	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Monty Williams	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	8	5	16.1	15.2	0.95	14.7	17.7	-3.07
John Amaechi	36	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	10	1	15.2	16.1	-0.86	17.7	14.6	3.12
Chucky Atkins	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	13	-5	16.4	14.8	1.63	14.5	17.9	-3.46
Michael Doleac	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	11	-1	15.9	15.6	0.28	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Corey Maggette	34	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	13	-5	15.2	16.1	-0.95	17.7	14.7	3.07
Pat Garrity	46	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	17	-13	17.3	14.2	3.15	13.9	17.9	-4.02

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirsad Turkcan	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	13.8	16.0	-2.19	18.8	15.5	3.29
Rick Brunson	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	12.9	16.2	-3.32	16.4	15.7	0.75
John Wallace	18	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-17	13	12.8	16.6	-3.79	17.2	15.4	1.84
Chris Dudley	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-16	11	12.3	16.2	-3.89	18.8	15.5	3.29
Chris Childs	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-24	27	15.5	16.2	-0.69	17.1	14.8	2.36
Kurt Thomas	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-18	15	15.7	16.0	-0.38	16.0	15.6	0.34
Marcus Camby	53	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-19	17	14.8	17.3	-2.48	16.2	15.1	1.05
Patrick Ewing	35	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-9	-3	18.1	14.5	3.51	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Larry Johnson	60	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-9	-3	17.2	13.3	3.89	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Charlie Ward	64	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	-2	-17	15.5	16.7	-1.25	15.6	16.2	-0.65
Latrell Sprewell	71	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	-1	-19	15.9	15.8	0.15	15.0	18.3	-3.35
Allan Houston	61	59	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.14	-25	4	-29	16.9	13.8	3.08	15.0	17.3	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, UTA 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
CLE 84, ORL 57	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%