NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	123		Excitement	4.8 [830]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +35.4%
Chicago Bulls	115		Comeback	1.4 [579]		LVP	Alex Caruso (CHI): -8.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.35	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.35	0.22	0.14	0.01	24	68%	0.40	3	-0.04	12	83%	0.03
Trey Lyles	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.00	-0.02	8	94%	0.19	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	14	63%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	76%	0.09	6	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Huerter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	18	62%	0.16	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.04	18	68%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	14	56%	0.08	3	-0.06	15	93%	0.04
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.4	14.8	26.0	1.8	35.2	134.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.1%

SAC +10.0%

CHI -5.0%

SAC +7.7%

SAC +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	12.9	14.5	116.0	108.5	113.9
season	14.0	14.5		115.6	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.8		115.1	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	13.3	15.2	16.2	14.3
CHI	13.8	14.9	10.5	12.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	67	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-5	18	13.8	15.1	-1.30	13.0	12.7	0.32
Domantas Sabonis	87	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-2	12	14.3	13.8	0.50	12.9	13.1	-0.17
Malik Monk	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	2	4	14.3	14.2	0.06	13.2	12.2	0.98
Harrison Barnes	80	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	14.2	14.3	-0.12	12.7	13.7	-1.00
De'Aaron Fox	78	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	3	2	14.9	12.5	2.34	12.4	14.2	-1.77
Trey Lyles	52	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	8	-8	14.3	14.2	0.10	14.0	12.0	1.98
Davion Mitchell	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	9	-10	13.2	14.7	-1.55	13.1	12.8	0.26
Kevin Huerter	47	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	6	-4	14.5	14.0	0.50	12.3	13.4	-1.06
JaVale McGee	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	9	-10	14.9	14.2	0.78	13.3	12.9	0.45
Kessler Edwards	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	0.0	14.4	-14.39	6.0	13.0	-6.98

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Taylor	6	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	17.5	12.6	4.86	12.0	14.4	-2.41
Julian Phillips	30	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-5	2	12.0	13.3	-1.32	12.8	14.9	-2.02
Andre Drummond	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	15.3	12.1	3.22	14.3	14.2	0.06
Jevon Carter	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	13.7	12.7	1.00	11.8	14.9	-3.10
DeMar DeRozan	85	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-12	16	12.4	14.9	-2.48	14.6	12.6	2.04
Torrey Craig	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	2	-12	13.6	12.6	0.94	13.6	14.5	-0.95
Alex Caruso	82	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-9	10	12.9	13.1	-0.22	15.1	11.5	3.63
Coby White	81	80	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-6	4	12.7	13.7	-1.00	14.6	13.3	1.31
Nikola Vucevic	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	12.1	15.3	-3.22	14.2	14.3	-0.06
Ayo Dosunmu	86	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	7	-22	13.2	11.5	1.68	14.4	13.8	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 124, CHA 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	95.5%
DAL 98, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BOS 96, POR 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%