inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 134 Excitement11.5 [28] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +101.1%
Atlanta Hawks 141 Comeback6.8 [216] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -25.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry1.010,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.55,0.48,0.78,0.78,0.9,1.02,1.02,0.99,0.99,1.02,1.010.450.630.063873%1.102-0.096100%0.03
Lester Quinones0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.02-0.011171%0.221-0.08250%-0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00371%0.121-0.041100%0.01
Jonathan Kuminga0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.05-0.011257%0.144-0.10475%-0.01
Brandin Podziemski-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.050.011252%-0.0200.00560%-0.02
Gui Santos-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Kevon Looney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Andrew Wiggins-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.220,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.14-0.09-0.001926%-0.201-0.0200%0.00
Draymond Green-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.18-0.00939%-0.013-0.2400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trae Young0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.60.600.220.37-0.012174%0.663-0.06580%0.06
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.340.340.180.180.011279%0.3400.004100%0.04
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.050.13-0.001639%0.122-0.041100%0.01
Jalen Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.030.032051%0.0600.001100%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.020.011171%0.131-0.07250%-0.02
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.040.00540%0.0400.00540%-0.05
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.00562%0.0400.003100%0.02
Patty Mills00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.04-0.022439%0.052-0.071100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.81.525.615.227.72.332.32.514.4150.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.0135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW -4.0%
ATL +21.2%
GSW -1.8%
ATL +38.7%
GSW -4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWATLNBAGSWATLNBA
this game13.014.214.5114.5120.5113.9
season14.314.2116.2115.7
opponent14.314.4118.0114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW13.113.315.311.79.813.0
ATL14.612.413.415.017.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gui Santos34310.15-0.650.800.005-121713.612.70.9214.114.2-0.08
Kevon Looney34320.11-0.610.730.033-101314.412.41.9213.014.6-1.68
Andrew Wiggins41430.01-0.510.52-0.052-91113.312.80.4614.314.10.18
Jonathan Kuminga7479-0.05-0.450.400.10-5-2-313.112.80.3513.415.7-2.29
Trayce Jackson-Davis1818-0.15-0.350.20-0.09-2-5313.712.90.8614.214.20.04
Stephen Curry8991-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.37-1-6512.614.3-1.7514.812.12.71
Klay Thompson7978-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.18-103-1313.312.30.9614.413.80.51
Draymond Green7578-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.29-70-712.513.8-1.2414.613.31.32
Lester Quinones5349-0.580.08-0.66-0.37-70-712.613.3-0.6714.214.20.03
Brandin Podziemski8886-0.620.12-0.74-0.24-136-1912.614.3-1.7514.114.5-0.40

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Onyeka Okongwu77810.500.000.490.239-21113.914.7-0.7413.412.11.23
Trae Young92930.490.010.480.3452314.612.81.8212.813.6-0.74
Dejounte Murray91890.460.040.430.3543114.712.42.2712.614.1-1.51
Garrison Mathews39370.380.120.26-0.0314-72112.914.8-1.9013.912.51.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic84840.310.190.130.2816-514.313.90.3512.514.2-1.74
Clint Capela59550.160.34-0.180.0443113.814.5-0.6912.913.0-0.09
Patty Mills15150.130.37-0.23-0.0461512.914.4-1.5215.312.72.61
Jalen Johnson94950.120.38-0.260.21-310-1314.612.61.9712.814.0-1.19
De'Andre Hunter3436-0.060.56-0.620.09-512-1713.714.4-0.7213.312.90.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.74,0.59,0.33,0.68,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.96,1,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 93, SAC 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.93,1,1,190.0%
HOU 99, GSW 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.64,0.46,0.53,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.73,189.5%
ATL 84, HOU 890.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.59,0.46,0.75,0.71,0.84,0.96,189.1%