NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	110		Excitement	4.9 [811]		MVP	Jalen Green (HOU): +15.5%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.1 [653]		LVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -9.7%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	3	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	15	59%	0.18	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Jonas Valanciunas	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	0.00	15	64%	0.13	3	-0.04	9	56%	-0.00
Dyson Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Murphy III	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	19	53%	0.06	6	-0.13	7	86%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	20	70%	0.21	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	12	63%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.06	12	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Samuels Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Hinton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.06	11	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	25.2	14.7	30.2	2.0	35.0	134.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +48.0%

HOU -1.4%

NOP +22.8%

HOU -21.5%

NOP +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	13.6	14.5	113.4	103.1	113.9
season	14.4	14.2		114.8	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.7		112.2	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.7	16.8	15.3	20.1	16.3
HOU	14.0	13.2	12.9	14.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-2	15	16.6	15.6	0.97	13.8	13.0	0.85
Jordan Hawkins	47	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-6	23	15.5	17.0	-1.53	14.9	12.3	2.60
Dyson Daniels	47	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	10	-9	16.9	15.7	1.28	14.2	13.0	1.24
Naji Marshall	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	3	5	16.8	15.4	1.33	13.7	13.2	0.51
CJ McCollum	75	76	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	8	-5	16.0	17.3	-1.34	12.9	16.2	-3.34
Trey Murphy III	57	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	16.4	16.1	0.30	12.4	15.2	-2.74
Brandon Ingram	73	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	7	-3	16.0	17.0	-1.01	13.3	14.5	-1.17
Jose Alvarado	28	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	4	3	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.9	13.1	1.80
Larry Nance Jr.	33	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	13	-15	15.6	16.6	-0.97	13.0	13.8	-0.85

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	28	29	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-13	15	13.4	13.6	-0.17	16.3	16.3	-0.00
Jermaine Samuels Jr.	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	7.0	13.6	-6.62	34.0	16.1	17.91
Nate Hinton	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	7.0	13.6	-6.62	34.0	16.1	17.91
Aaron Holiday	35	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.33	9	-20	29	11.6	14.7	-3.07	17.9	15.4	2.56
Jae'Sean Tate	14	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-1	-9	13.5	13.6	-0.06	13.2	16.9	-3.63
Jalen Green	77	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	13.4	14.1	-0.62	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Amen Thompson	34	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	-6	1	14.8	12.9	1.88	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Cam Whitmore	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	2	-15	14.5	12.8	1.71	15.5	16.8	-1.37
Dillon Brooks	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	13.0	14.5	-1.51	17.0	14.9	2.10
Fred VanVleet	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-6	1	13.3	14.6	-1.37	16.4	15.7	0.72
Alperen Sengun	70	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-6	1	13.8	12.8	1.07	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Jabari Smith Jr.	44	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	8	-27	14.7	12.6	2.09	15.8	16.7	-0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
LAL 100, NOH 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
NJN 101, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%