NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	4.4 [962]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +13.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.5 [400]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -4.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	22	58%	0.15	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.02	0.03	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	43%	0.01	0	0.00	15	73%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	29	53%	0.06	4	-0.08	10	70%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.05	10	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	25.4	15.7	28.1	1.8	30.0	128.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +21.6%

NJN +6.4%

NJN +11.8%

NJN +9.9%

NJN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.6	116.1	104.7	104.4
season	15.7	15.2		102.1	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		106.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.0	22.3	16.4	16.9	16.8
PHI	17.0	17.7	15.5	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	71	70	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.01	22	-11	33	15.4	23.2	-7.81	16.4	16.9	-0.57
Jason Collins	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-5	21	14.7	19.5	-4.77	16.9	16.0	0.90
Vince Carter	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.15	12	-1	13	16.4	20.2	-3.80	15.9	22.2	-6.37
Jason Kidd	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	4	3	17.1	16.0	1.11	16.1	17.5	-1.37
Nenad Krstic	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	0	11	17.4	15.8	1.52	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Clifford Robinson	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	17.1	16.4	0.71	16.6	16.2	0.38
Jacque Vaughn	40	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	17	-23	17.8	16.0	1.87	16.7	16.3	0.44
Marc Jackson	6	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	10	-9	12.2	17.2	-4.99	19.6	16.3	3.32
Scott Padgett	6	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	16	-21	28.2	16.0	12.19	14.8	16.6	-1.77
Lamond Murray	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	17	-23	24.3	15.6	8.72	19.7	15.9	3.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	28	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-19	27	16.0	16.7	-0.65	17.8	16.3	1.49
Matt Barnes	26	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	16.4	16.5	-0.08	18.4	16.1	2.31
Kyle Korver	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-17	23	17.2	15.8	1.40	18.1	15.6	2.57
Shavlik Randolph	14	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-6	1	18.7	16.0	2.67	13.5	17.5	-4.05
Kevin Ollie	13	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-1	-9	20.2	15.8	4.42	18.7	16.5	2.21
John Salmons	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	15.3	17.6	-2.26	16.2	17.5	-1.37
Allen Iverson	77	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-6	1	15.7	22.9	-7.16	16.4	20.6	-4.17
Chris Webber	65	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	16.4	16.8	-0.44	17.2	15.8	1.36
Andre Iguodala	60	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	5	-21	16.5	16.4	0.08	16.1	18.4	-2.31
Samuel Dalembert	62	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	9	-29	16.7	15.8	0.89	16.5	17.6	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHI 112, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NJN 104, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%