inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 107 Excitement7.9 [286] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +28.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Comeback2.0 [425] LVPChet Holmgren (OKC): -21.2%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.240.080.160.011164%0.2400.0000%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.100.120.004125%0.241-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Edwards0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.150.060.110.012061%0.274-0.114100%0.02
Rudy Gobert0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.060.00692%0.213-0.0910%-0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04-0.010.060.021246%0.071-0.032100%0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.020.021555%0.092-0.09887%0.02
Troy Brown Jr.-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Naz Reid-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.001045%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.170.150.031871%0.454-0.161694%0.11
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.070.003117%0.151-0.0200%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.080.080.020.070.01850%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.001756%0.152-0.0720%-0.04
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.002125%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.010.011062%0.071-0.0310%-0.03
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00329%-0.0200.0010%-0.01
Vasilije Micic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.08-0.00712%-0.1600.002100%0.01
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.11-0.12-0.02922%-0.152-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.026.514.624.51.735.2129.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +54.5%
OKC -13.7%
MIN +11.1%
OKC -2.6%
MIN +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINOKCNBAMINOKCNBA
this game15.215.814.5113.8109.8113.9
season14.913.9114.4117.1
opponent14.714.7109.7108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.115.914.715.015.2
OKC14.315.416.617.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden McDaniels63630.88-0.381.260.5910-41414.416.8-2.4315.616.2-0.55
Rudy Gobert73690.79-0.291.080.4711-51614.717.0-2.2816.114.81.35
Nickeil Alexander-Walker69670.77-0.271.030.4710-41415.015.7-0.7316.114.81.31
Karl-Anthony Towns76760.53-0.030.560.308-21015.115.4-0.3315.616.7-1.16
Anthony Edwards79760.210.29-0.080.24-17-815.115.5-0.4215.616.6-0.93
Troy Brown Jr.12110.070.43-0.35-0.0133016.215.01.1317.315.61.68
Jordan McLaughlin26260.010.49-0.47-0.0215-416.214.81.4016.215.60.61
Naz Reid3939-0.320.82-1.14-0.12-713-2016.314.41.8415.615.9-0.35
Kyle Anderson3333-0.440.94-1.39-0.30-511-1616.114.71.4514.916.3-1.33

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Joe30330.52-1.021.530.0516-223814.716.3-1.5715.315.10.23
Jaylin Williams32300.36-0.861.230.167-132015.016.2-1.1716.214.71.55
Vasilije Micic98-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-5413.416.0-2.6017.415.02.40
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7576-0.04-0.460.41-0.195-111615.716.1-0.4014.916.3-1.43
Luguentz Dort5052-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-6614.916.9-2.0014.216.4-2.17
Cason Wallace3536-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.02-104-1416.515.41.0716.014.71.37
Kenrich Williams3233-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.16-71-815.515.9-0.4515.315.10.19
Aaron Wiggins3737-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.29-60-616.515.31.2515.614.90.77
Jalen Williams6263-0.530.03-0.56-0.41-4-2-216.115.20.8815.614.41.23
Josh Giddey3838-0.730.23-0.95-0.23-1711-2817.015.02.0114.415.7-1.28
Chet Holmgren6064-0.860.36-1.23-0.48-137-2016.215.01.1714.716.2-1.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.38,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.52,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.62,0.46,0.23,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 95, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.09,0.02,090.3%
CHI 106, MIL 1040.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.61,0.37,0.23,0.15,090.0%
SEA 98, MIA 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.41,089.9%