NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	8.4 [223]		MVP	Jalen Smith (IND): +35.5%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	2.0 [886]		LVP	Scotty Pippen Jr. (MEM): -12.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	9	78%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Vince Williams Jr.	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.00	-0.00	12	71%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.02	17	54%	0.26	4	-0.14	12	92%	0.08
David Roddy	0.07	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jacob Gilyard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.12	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Ziaire Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	11	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36	0.35	0.12	0.23	-0.00	13	73%	0.38	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	13	66%	0.18	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	-0.01	0.01	14	77%	0.22	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	27%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	27.6	15.4	32.9	1.8	33.5	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +42.3%

MEM -13.3%

MEM -3.1%

IND +19.9%

IND +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	IND	NBA	MEM	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	14.5	114.6	120.8	113.9
season	14.8	13.8		106.3	120.0
opponent	14.7	14.3		117.4	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.3	16.3	14.3	15.9	15.2
IND	15.1	15.0	15.0	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scotty Pippen Jr.	35	35	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.19	9	-15	24	14.4	15.7	-1.28	15.2	14.6	0.61
Santi Aldama	54	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-5	4	16.1	14.0	2.07	15.7	13.6	2.08
Jaren Jackson Jr.	63	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-16	26	14.9	15.8	-0.91	14.8	14.9	-0.13
David Roddy	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-10	14	15.4	14.7	0.66	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Jacob Gilyard	10	10	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	5	-16	18.3	14.8	3.47	15.0	14.8	0.21
GG Jackson	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.2	16.7	-2.48	14.2	15.8	-1.54
John Konchar	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	15.8	14.2	1.59	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Xavier Tillman	33	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	11	-28	15.8	14.9	0.91	15.1	14.7	0.47
Vince Williams Jr.	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-5	4	14.6	17.2	-2.65	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Ziaire Williams	27	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	12	-30	15.2	15.2	0.05	15.8	14.4	1.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	62	62	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-8	22	14.1	16.2	-2.11	14.3	16.8	-2.53
Pascal Siakam	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-2	10	14.2	16.5	-2.25	15.5	14.4	1.06
Andrew Nembhard	74	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	1	4	15.5	12.4	3.12	15.5	14.1	1.39
Aaron Nesmith	73	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	7	-8	15.5	12.8	2.67	15.8	13.2	2.59
Obi Toppin	32	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	0	6	15.9	14.3	1.59	14.7	15.4	-0.75
Jalen Smith	60	61	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	8	-10	14.5	15.3	-0.83	15.5	14.7	0.83
Isaiah Jackson	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	6	-6	15.7	14.4	1.27	14.4	15.5	-1.14
Buddy Hield	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	6	-6	14.3	15.2	-0.94	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Ben Sheppard	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	14.0	15.4	-1.35	14.9	15.4	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.83,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 102, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.85,1	92.6%
TOR 98, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	92.3%
GSW 92, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.65,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.89,1,1	91.5%