inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 143 Excitement3.1 [1148] MVPKristaps Porzingis (BOS): +15.2%
Miami Heat 110 Comeback1.1 [1174] LVPCaleb Martin (MIA): -3.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.170.000.03986%0.1500.004100%0.02
Jayson Tatum0.130,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.000.011565%0.1310.001090%0.03
Jrue Holiday0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.018106%0.153-0.0300%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.001182%0.163-0.0600%0.00
Derrick White0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.021262%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Al Horford0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.024100%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Payton Pritchard0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.05769%0.0300.002100%0.00
Luke Kornet0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.120.000.094100%0.0300.004100%0.01
Sam Hauser0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.032125%0.0110.0000%0.00
Jordan Walsh0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Oshae Brissett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dalano Banton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Neemias Queta0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Stevens0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.000.051174%0.081-0.011100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.021459%0.0700.00475%-0.00
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.000.071468%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01470%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00-0.04642%0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.01-0.04944%0.0300.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.041035%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cole Swider0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Jovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03437%0.0010.0000%0.00
Orlando Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.00475%0.00
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.13-0.010.127100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Caleb Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021231%-0.0400.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.43.627.416.323.73.523.6121.4
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +39.7%
BOS +6.4%
BOS +7.2%
MIA -5.4%
BOS +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game14.016.114.5149.0115.8113.9
season14.914.9120.7112.3
opponent14.814.7111.0109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS12.414.613.116.214.0
MIA16.415.416.915.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kristaps Porzingis44450.50-0.000.50-0.262671912.315.5-3.1915.816.5-0.74
Jaylen Brown57550.440.060.37-0.2122111113.115.3-2.1716.016.3-0.35
Derrick White62590.400.100.30-0.302491513.714.5-0.7915.617.0-1.37
Jayson Tatum68680.390.110.27-0.2622111113.814.5-0.6815.418.0-2.59
Jrue Holiday59580.260.240.03-0.121320-714.014.00.0315.617.0-1.40
Al Horford44440.210.29-0.07-0.141221-913.814.2-0.4216.915.51.33
Sam Hauser22230.190.31-0.12-0.191320-712.714.4-1.7418.215.52.67
Payton Pritchard43440.080.42-0.34-0.301320-715.113.21.9417.215.22.01
Luke Kornet35340.030.47-0.45-0.271023-1315.713.12.5817.315.51.83
Jordan Walsh650.000.50-0.50-0.06231-2915.513.91.5815.416.2-0.79
Svi Mykhailiuk650.000.50-0.50-0.06231-2915.513.91.5815.416.2-0.79
Oshae Brissett670.000.50-0.500.03-134-3517.713.83.8915.116.2-1.08
Dalano Banton12120.000.50-0.50-0.03132-3116.613.72.9315.216.3-1.03
Neemias Queta880.000.50-0.50-0.09330-2715.413.91.4816.016.2-0.16
Lamar Stevens880.000.50-0.50-0.09330-2715.413.91.4816.016.2-0.16

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cole Swider12120.00-0.500.500.03-1-323115.216.3-1.0316.613.72.93
Nikola Jovic12120.00-0.500.500.03-1-323115.216.3-1.0316.613.72.93
Orlando Robinson12120.00-0.500.500.03-1-323115.216.3-1.0316.613.72.93
Josh Richardson4546-0.02-0.480.460.22-8-251715.616.6-1.0015.612.62.97
Duncan Robinson3838-0.12-0.390.270.27-13-20717.415.32.0814.313.90.40
Thomas Bryant2324-0.12-0.380.26-0.01-4-292517.015.91.1213.814.1-0.31
Haywood Highsmith5355-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-251714.917.7-2.7714.613.21.36
Caleb Martin4241-0.26-0.24-0.030.47-25-8-1717.714.92.7713.214.6-1.36
Terry Rozier6060-0.38-0.12-0.260.44-28-5-2316.016.4-0.4013.614.7-1.12
Bam Adebayo6060-0.38-0.12-0.260.44-28-5-2316.016.4-0.4013.614.7-1.12
Jimmy Butler5960-0.49-0.01-0.490.21-24-9-1516.216.10.1513.015.6-2.59
Tyler Herro5960-0.49-0.01-0.490.21-24-9-1516.216.10.1513.015.6-2.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 105, NYK 790.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
MIL 115, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
IND 105, CHI 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%