inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 106 Excitement9.1 [136] MVPJalen Duren (DET): +30.8%
Detroit Pistons 113 Comeback4.4 [321] LVPLaMelo Ball (CHA): -42.1%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Richards0.200,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.20.140.080.011370%0.2000.00475%-0.01
Brandon Miller0.160,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.06-0.011762%0.212-0.05367%-0.01
P.J. Washington0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.05-0.006100%0.202-0.0600%0.00
Nick Smith Jr.0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.040.00275%0.0700.0000%0.00
Cody Martin0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.01442%0.0500.00475%0.02
Leaky Black0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.001150%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nathan Mensah0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Frank Ntilikina-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Miles Bridges-0.200,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.06-0.15-0.012143%-0.083-0.13475%0.02
LaMelo Ball-0.420,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.42-0.13-0.280.012137%-0.194-0.234100%0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Duren0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.310.310.090.230.01974%0.331-0.0310%-0.02
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.070.160.001158%0.2300.00475%0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.160.160.170.010.012365%0.212-0.05683%0.03
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.00487%0.0700.0000%0.00
Killian Hayes0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.01367%0.061-0.03333%-0.01
Marcus Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.01550%0.071-0.0500%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ausar Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.040.00470%0.082-0.09250%-0.02
Isaiah Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.050.02855%0.012-0.08450%-0.03
Kevin Knox II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Jaden Ivey0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.070.001045%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.825.214.726.32.537.6130.2
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +47.9%
CHA -6.6%
DET +3.2%
DET +10.0%
CHA -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHADETNBACHADETNBA
this game14.414.814.5108.2114.1113.9
season14.814.2108.3108.4
opponent14.314.5117.6118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.914.313.315.114.4
DET15.115.714.913.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ish Smith25270.47-0.971.43-0.0016-233912.715.0-2.2914.714.9-0.15
Frank Ntilikina16180.28-0.781.050.048-152314.514.40.1315.414.70.73
P.J. Washington57610.08-0.580.65-0.106-131913.515.6-2.1014.914.80.05
Leaky Black650.01-0.510.510.010-7717.814.23.6715.614.80.79
Miles Bridges8485-0.10-0.400.31-0.183-101314.514.00.4514.516.8-2.26
Cody Martin5148-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-2-315.713.02.7515.514.21.31
Nick Smith Jr.3332-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-70-715.813.72.0715.814.41.42
Nathan Mensah1414-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.11-103-1314.014.5-0.4516.814.52.26
Nick Richards5857-0.520.02-0.54-0.31-70-713.915.0-1.1213.916.1-2.12
Brandon Miller8182-0.790.29-1.09-0.35-158-2313.817.1-3.2314.814.9-0.04
LaMelo Ball6566-1.040.54-1.59-0.34-2417-4114.813.51.3614.515.6-1.09

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Stewart71720.80-0.301.100.5110-31313.917.1-3.2014.514.00.48
Killian Hayes58590.420.080.350.3143113.716.5-2.7613.915.2-1.27
Jalen Duren46470.410.090.310.2652314.215.4-1.1413.914.9-1.03
Alec Burks55520.410.090.310.2652314.615.2-0.6414.214.7-0.50
Marcus Sasser24240.260.240.020.028-1916.514.32.2315.414.11.36
Kevin Knox II26250.240.26-0.020.0661515.614.61.0415.014.20.77
Ausar Thompson54510.210.29-0.080.1234-115.014.60.4115.013.71.36
Bojan Bogdanovic67690.090.41-0.320.0907-715.314.01.2514.514.10.45
Mike Muscala28250.060.44-0.380.0025-316.414.22.1513.214.8-1.65
Monte Morris22210.050.45-0.40-0.0434-115.514.70.8414.714.30.35
Jaden Ivey4445-0.440.94-1.39-0.12-1118-2915.314.50.7614.414.40.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.37,0.22,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, MIL 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.43,0.59,192.0%
CLE 97, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.6,0.38,0.22,0.31,0.73,190.5%
TOR 84, NJN 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.43,0.58,190.5%