inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Excitement8.3 [222] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +44.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 97 Comeback12.8 [87] LVPMike Conley (MIN): -32.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.440,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.15,0.44,0.440.110.32-0.012258%0.502-0.051392%0.01
Isaiah Joe0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.080.030.050.01362%0.0800.002100%0.04
Aaron Wiggins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002125%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.001254%0.061-0.03250%-0.05
Chet Holmgren0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.030.10-0.050.02868%0.0300.006100%0.04
Jalen Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02-0.010.050.011843%0.0200.001080%0.04
Jaylin Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00383%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Vasilije Micic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.080,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.02828%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.05-0.031063%0.193-0.0710100%0.09
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.10.100.040.060.001369%0.194-0.0800%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.030.030.010.01-0.011063%0.215-0.191060%-0.18
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.01-0.00350%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.06-0.130.031165%-0.022-0.0710%-0.01
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.07-0.00635%-0.102-0.05862%-0.11
Mike Conley0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32-0.32-0.18-0.17-0.021114%-0.263-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.330.714.627.02.442.3144.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +8.1%
OKC +26.6%
MIN -18.1%
OKC +37.8%
MIN -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game14.515.114.5107.498.0113.9
season13.814.8117.4114.5
opponent14.614.7108.1109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.914.217.313.214.5
MIN14.913.016.216.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Williams73750.81-0.311.120.3117-122914.215.6-1.3615.115.3-0.27
Isaiah Joe42450.79-0.291.070.4312-71913.815.2-1.3715.914.51.35
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander71760.78-0.281.060.3714-92314.315.2-0.8315.713.32.32
Luguentz Dort63670.70-0.200.900.3711-61714.115.4-1.2516.412.53.84
Chet Holmgren65670.67-0.170.840.438-31114.215.4-1.2515.714.01.63
Jaylin Williams2123-0.030.53-0.57-0.0923-115.514.31.2516.914.62.26
Josh Giddey4950-0.100.60-0.70-0.1314-315.114.01.1515.514.80.74
Kenrich Williams2020-0.130.63-0.77-0.10-16-716.014.21.8413.615.5-1.92
Vasilije Micic1717-0.260.76-1.020.03-1015-2515.714.31.4112.415.7-3.35
Cason Wallace2727-0.340.84-1.180.10-1520-3514.814.50.3212.416.2-3.75
Aaron Wiggins2728-0.380.88-1.250.03-1419-3315.314.30.9911.716.5-4.71

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Anderson39370.59-1.091.680.2113-183114.515.6-1.1115.913.72.20
Naz Reid55510.43-0.931.36-0.0717-223914.316.2-1.8915.014.00.93
Nickeil Alexander-Walker42390.33-0.831.170.108-132113.616.2-2.6314.914.30.64
Jordan McLaughlin28270.24-0.740.990.047-121913.515.8-2.2715.114.30.79
Rudy Gobert6666-0.580.08-0.67-0.47-4-1-316.113.22.9214.215.3-1.05
Anthony Edwards7773-0.770.27-1.04-0.39-138-2115.813.02.8014.415.0-0.53
Jaden McDaniels5857-0.840.34-1.19-0.49-127-1914.715.7-0.9813.815.7-1.85
Karl-Anthony Towns7370-0.940.44-1.38-0.38-1914-3315.414.31.1214.414.9-0.45
Mike Conley5755-0.960.46-1.42-0.32-2217-3916.413.42.9614.215.1-0.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.72,0.81,0.63,0.68,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 96, LAC 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.68,0.42,090.7%
LAL 113, MIL 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.04,090.6%
LAC 120, BKN 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.57,0.42,090.2%